Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 150812
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
312 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A WINDY NIGHT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND OFFSHORE WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS STILL IN THE 30-40 MPH RANGE AT GLS AND
OFFSHORE. FURTHER INLAND...WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND HAVE BECOME
LIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS. WILL SEE THE WINDS NEAR
THE COAST GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS MORNING.

A SUNNY AND COOL DAY IS ON TAP TODAY BEHIND THE SIGNIFICANT CF
THAT PASSED THROUGH ON MONDAY. WE WILL SEE ANOTHER NIGHT OF WELL
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES IN
PLACE. EXPECT TO SEE TEMPS FALL TO THE MID 30S ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS...AROUND 40 CENTRAL AND NEAR 50 ON THE COAST TUE NIGHT/WED
MORNING. THINK OUR NE ZONES WILL STAY JUST ABOVE FREEZING EARLY
WED MORNING. AM FORECASTING MIN TEMPS JUST ABOVE THE RECORD LOWS
INLAND...AND JUST BELOW THE RECORD AT GLS FOR THE 16TH WHICH IS
51.

LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RETURN WED NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS A SHRT WV
TROF APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS. WILL HAVE SLIGHT CHC POPS AS
THIS FEATURE PROVIDES SOME LIFT. THE ECMWF AND GFS ARE SHOWING
SOME DIFFERENCES CONCERNING THE NEXT MID/UPPER TROF THIS
WEEKEND...WITH THE ECMWF DEEPER AND SLOWER THAN THE GFS. WILL
ADVERTISE CHC POPS SAT NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN
THE SOLNS. TEMPS WILL BE BACK TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE NEAR NORMAL VALUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 33

&&

.MARINE...
VERY STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE TOWARD
SUNRISE. WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO THE EAST BY THIS EVENING AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION.  EAST TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY...AND ELEVATED SPEEDS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND ON INTO THE WEEKEND.
42
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      63  39  71  53  72 /   0   0   0  10  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              64  40  71  55  74 /   0   0   0  10  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            63  50  68  60  72 /   0   0   0  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS...
     JACKSON...MATAGORDA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1
     PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON
     BAY...MATAGORDA BAY.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT
     TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 PM CDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO
     THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
     THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO
     THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33



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