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000
FXUS64 KHGX 031231
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
631 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2013

.AVIATION...
THE MAIN CHALLENGE FOR THIS PACKAGE WILL BE THE FORMATION...
EXTENT...AND DURATION OF MORNING FOG. MVFR FOG OVER TERMINALS
EXPERIENCING LOW DECKS AND MVFR OVER THOSE HUBS THAT HAVE CLEAR
SKIES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICT AN OVERALL DRY ATMOSPHERE THAT
SATURATES UP WITHIN A THOUSAND FEET OF THE SURFACE THIS EVENING
THROUGH THE EARLY WED AM HOURS. THE ONE INHIBITER WILL BE A
GREATER THAN 5 KNOT SW-S WIND PROVIDING THAT NEAR-SURFACE MIXING.
OTHER THAN FOG AND/OR IFR CEILINGS...VFR WITH PRIMARILY CLEAR
SKIES AND A NEAR 10 KT SOUTHWEST WIND. 31

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2013/

DISCUSSION...
STILL EXPECTING A COUPLE MORE UNSEASONABLY WARM EARLY DECEMBER
DAYS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT
WILL BE SLOWLY MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
THE FRONT IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INTO OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES BEFORE
NOON ON THURSDAY AND GRADUALLY WORKS ITS WAY TOWARD THE COAST IN
THE EVENING. BEHIND THE FRONT...EXPECT FALLING TEMPERATURES AS A
MUCH COLDER AIR MASS WORKS ITS WAY INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. WINTER
LIKE WEATHER (COLD TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH CLOUDY SKIES AND A
CHANCE OF RAIN) WILL PREVAIL BEHIND THE FRONT AT THE END OF THE
WEEK AND ON INTO THE WEEKEND. DURING THIS UPCOMING EVENT...THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME FROZEN PRECIPITATION ACROSS PORTIONS OF OUR
NORTHERN COUNTIES CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR.  42

MARINE...
THE ONSHORE GRADIENT BETWEEN EASTERN GULF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER
INLAND PRESSURE WILL BE TIGHT ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SCEC LEVEL OFFSHORE
WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. MID TO UPPER 60 DEW POINT
AIR RIDING OVER COOLER WATER IN THE 50S WILL CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT
CONDUCIVE TO FOG DEVELOPMENT. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY LIGHT TO
OCCASIONALLY NEAR-SCEC LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD
FRONT. THIS FRONT IS TIMED TO REACH THE COAST MID TO LATE FRIDAY
MORNING. STRONG NORTHERLIES WILL OCCUR IN THIS FRONT`S WAKE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH MID SATURDAY...GUSTS TO GALE FORCE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND/OR EVENING...WITH OFFSHORE SEAS BRIEFLY EXCEEDING 10
FEET. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      80  64  77  64  69 /  10  10  20  20  40
HOUSTON (IAH)              82  66  79  67  75 /  10  10  20  20  40
GALVESTON (GLS)            76  66  75  66  67 /  10  10  10  20  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION/MARINE...31