Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 062044
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
344 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SCT SHRA/TSRA SHOULD DIMINISH IN COVERAGE W/ THE LOSS OF HEATING.
WENT ABOVE GUIDANCE SUGGESTIONS AND MORE IN LINE WITH LAST NIGHTS
LOW TEMPS AGAIN TONIGHT CONSIDERING WINDS WILL REMAIN UP.

SYNOPTIC SET-UP REMAINS ABOUT THE SAME GOING INTO THE WEEKEND
WITH BROAD MID LEVEL TROF TO THE WEST AND A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM
SCNTL MEXICO INTO E TX-LA-MS. CORRESPONDING SW FLOW ALOFT WILL
CARRY EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE STATE THRU THE WEEKEND.
ALTHOUGH DIFFICULT TO TIME - THE FAVORED TRACKS OF THESE IMPULSES
SHOULD KEEP BEST PRECIP CHANCES WEST AND NORTH OF THE REGION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK...ALTHOUGH NORTHERN PERIPHERY
(LETS SAY BRENHAM-LIVINGSTON) MAY GET CLIPPED FROM TIME-TO-TIME.
OTHERWISE WOULD JUST EXPECT MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN SCT SHRA/TSRA.

SHORTWAVE DIGS SWD INTO SOCAL FRI AND KICKS OUT INTO THE PLAINS
LATER THIS WEEKEND. AS THIS OCCURS THE RIDGE WILL BE SHUNTED
FURTHER EAST WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY ALLOW A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES
TO MOVE OVERHEAD GOING INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TO COMPLICATE
MATTERS...LOOKING FOR COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO TX LATE SUNDAY OR
MONDAY AND EVENTUALLY STALL NEARBY AS IT BECOMES ORIENTED PARALLEL
TO UPPER FLOW. THIS PATTERN, IF IT VERIFIES, POINTS TO A FAIRLY
ACTIVE WX PERIOD WITH HEAVY RAIN/SVR WX THREATS ALL ON THE TABLE.
47

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
CAUTION CONDITIONS DUE MAINLY TO SEAS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT
AS WELL. 40

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      73  85  73  85  73 /  20  40  30  40  30
HOUSTON (IAH)              73  86  73  86  73 /  20  30  20  30  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            74  82  74  83  74 /  20  20  20  20  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$



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