Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 190957

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
357 AM MDT Wed Oct 19 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 333 AM MDT Wed Oct 19 2016

...Below Average Temperatures Next 24 Hours...

A cold front was pushing south through the plains this morning with
gusts up to 44 mph at the Springs airport at 2:05 am, and gusts up
to 48 mph at the Pueblo airport at 3:32 am.  Front will continue
south this morning, gradually weakening with time and with gust
speeds dropping off. Front could impact the Junkins Fire briefly
with some gusts from the northeast in the next hour or two but then
they should drop off pretty quick and shift around to a more
easterly component.  Contacted Pueblo Dispatch to relay this
information to the fire folks.

Front has been dropping some snow over the central mountains this
morning.  Leadville has been reporting visibilities of 1 to 2 miles
in light snow since about 11 pm.  The gage up there reported 0.03
inches of liquid as of midnight with additional light amounts after
that.  Although it`s dark out there, enough light from the moon I
guess to see snow covering the ground on the Independence Pass CDOT
cam at 10,200 feet.  So, a bit wintry up in the central mountain
high country this morning.  The snow showers up there will continue
for another couple hours and then should wind down after that.

Otherwise, the main story will be the cooler temperatures. Temps
across the area will actually be around 5 degrees or so below
average over the next 24 hours.  This may translate to a hard freeze
over parts of the plains tonight.  It is still a little unclear what
areas will see a freeze and whether or not it will truly be a
killing freeze.  So, for the time being, will stick with the Freeze
Watch and let the day crew make the call on a Freeze Warning as new
data becomes available today.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 333 AM MDT Wed Oct 19 2016

Dry and unseasonably warm weather will continue across the region
through this long term forecast period. Temperatures will continue
to be 10 to 15F across the lower elevations most days. Surface winds
will remain light, but will likely increase beginning next week as
southwesterly flow aloft increases over the region. Some showers
will be possible starting late Monday and lasting into Tuesday,
especially over the mountains.


This day will likely be the coolest day of the extended forecast
period. Temperatures will be seasonable with highs in the 60s across
most of the plains and valleys. Dry weather is anticipated.

Friday into Sunday...

Dry and very warm. Temps will be running 10-15F above normal across
the plains. Ridging will be over the region so winds will be
diurnally driven and light.

Monday into Tuesday....

Southwest flow increases as a broad trough moves in from the
Pacific. This will allow for a lee trough to develop and surface
winds will start to increase. However, guidance does show
increasing moisture over the region, especially over the mountains.
Some rain and snow will be possible, especially over the contdvd
region. These days will have to be watched for possible fire weather
concerns especially across the San Luis Valley...S mtns and all of


A cool front is forecast to move across the region which should
decrease the max temps across the region.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 333 AM MDT Wed Oct 19 2016

Snow showers moving through the central mountains this morning will
cause areas of MVFR, IFR and LIFR flight conditions until around 12Z
with conditions gradually returning to VFR after that.  Otherwise,
VFR across the flight area next 24 hours, including the KCOS, KPUB
and KALS TAF sites.


Freeze Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for



LONG TERM...Hodanish
AVIATION...LW is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.