Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 172059
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
259 PM MDT Sun Mar 17 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Snow showers continue to dissipate this afternoon.

- Warmer and drier most of this week. Some showers and storms
possible over the mountains.

- Some showers and thunderstorms possible for the southeast plains
on Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 258 PM MDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Currently, some scattered snow showers are present on radar over
portions of the higher terrain. Short-term guidance shows these
showers persisting for another few hours this afternoon, but quickly
waning by this evening. Any additional snow accumulations are
expected to be light, though hazardous travel is still possible in
the mountain passes. Though the snow is on the lighter side, webcams
are still showing areas of decreased visibility.

Aside from the mountain snow, the rest of Today is expected to be
relatively quiet, weather-wise. High temperatures this afternoon
will climb into the 40s-50s across the plains, and should assist in
further snow melt across I-25. Though low temperatures tonight will
largely be in the high-20s over the plains and teens-20s for the
valleys, the area will continue to dry out and the rest of the snow
showers should dissipate tomorrow morning.

For Monday, a warmer and drier day is in store as we remain stuck in
between two systems. First is the closed low to our southwest that
has been bringing moisture to our area, while a second, more broad
trough sits to our east. In between, dry and relatively calm
conditions will persis, with highs in the 40s-50s across the area
and clearing skies.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 258 PM MDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Our dry warming trend will continue on Tuesday, with quickly
increasing temperatures and mostly clear skies. Highs Tuesday
afternoon will be in the 60s-70s, warmer closer to the KS border,
with the higher elevations sitting in the 50s. The upper-level low
will slowly begin to push east into a broad trough, allowing for a
bit more moisture and synoptic lift to hit the mountains. Tuesday
and Wednesday, some more isolated showers will move back into the
mountains, and a few rumbles of thunder will even be possible. Over
the plains, temperatures will stay warm as the system slowly begins
to move in, and with the associated lift and potential instability a
few thunderstorms may be possible over the southeast plains during
the afternoon.

Upper ridging will begin to build in over the area starting on
Thursday, with dry northwesterly flow aloft. Temperatures will
continue to warm and remain either near or above seasonal levels.
Beyond Thursday, as we move into the weekend and into the start of
next week, model solutions quickly begin to diverge, sending energy
across the western US at different speeds and amplitudes. Details at
this time remain unclear, but the data hints at a more active
pattern returning to our area late this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 258 PM MDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Coverage and intensity of any remaining shower development will
diminish and mainly stay confined to the higher terrain into early
evening. Some additional showers are possible across the higher
terrain Monday afternoon, but expect dry weather to persist across
all the terminals this period. VFR ceilings in place at all sites
will scatter out later tonight, with clearer conditions expected for
the remainder of the period. Lighter and more variable winds are
expected tonight into Monday morning, and then becoming more
diurnally driven into the afternoon.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...RODRIGUEZ


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