Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 201715

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1115 AM MDT Thu Oct 20 2016

Issued at 842 AM MDT Thu Oct 20 2016

Updated the forecast for the expiration of the freeze warning.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 351 AM MDT Thu Oct 20 2016

...Dry and Cool next 24 Hours...

Northwest flow will bring dry and cooler than average weather to the
area through tonight.  After a chilly start this morning, afternoon
high temperatures will range anywhere from around 10 degrees below
average across the plains to just a few degrees below average up in
the mountains.  Lows tonight will continue a little below average.
More near freezing temperatures will be possible across the plains
although it currently doesn`t look like readings will be cold
enough, long enough to warrant highlights. This may change pending
new model data arriving today. Otherwise, dry with generally light
winds through the forecast period.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 351 AM MDT Thu Oct 20 2016

An upper ridge will transition eastward over the area for Friday
through the weekend, keeping dry weather over the region and
bringing a return of above normal temperatures. Winds should
remain light, aside from some breezy westerly winds at times over
the higher elevations during the afternoon. A weak front pushes
through eastern Colorado early Sunday which should knock
temperatures back a couple degrees, but afternoon highs will still
be above normal.

Changes start to arrive early next week as the ridge axis shifts
eastward and southwest flow begins to advect moisture into the
Continental Divide region. This will bring showers to the western
mountains, with a few spreading over into the southeast mountains
at times. A shortwave embedded in southwest flow moves across CO
early Tuesday, sending another cool front through the area. This
will be the best chance to see showers spread out onto the
plains, but given its track across northern Colorado, chances
look low for southern CO. Dry weather returns for Wednesday and
Thursday with the potential for another system arriving early
Friday. -KT


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1114 AM MDT Thu Oct 20 2016

VFR conditions are expected at the terminal forecast sites through
the next 24 hrs as an upper level ridge builds over the state.




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