Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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256
FXUS65 KPUB 152055
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
255 PM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 242 PM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Currently...

Clear skies and seasonable temperatures were occurring across the
region at 2 pm. Winds were light across the area.

Tonight...

Clear skies with temperatures near freezing will occur across the
plains tonight. Areas along the mtns/plains interface will likely
see warmer temps, with upper 30s to around 40F likely. San Luis
valley floor will likely see the coldest temperatures as readings
will be in the L20s. Temps at mtn top will start to warm up
(relatively) as warm air advection moves in aloft

Tomorrow...

Temps will start to warm up once again with readings likely reaching
into the mid to upper 70s across the plains and 60s to around 70F in
the valleys. Winds will be diurnally driven lower elevations and a
tad bit stronger than today, especially across the central mtns
where 10 to 20 mph west winds will occur. /Hodanish

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 242 PM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Models still indicating dry weather for much of the extended
period, but uncertainty still exists by the weekend. The ECMWF and
GFS have switched from yesterday leading to the continued
uncertainty.

Monday night through Thursday...high pressure will give way to
broad westerly flow across the region. This will give us continued
dry weather through Thursday. Temperatures will remain mild with
70s to low 80s across the lower elevations. A weak cold front is
expected on Wednesday that will bring a northerly wind shift to
the Plains by the afternoon.

Friday through Sunday...models having a hard time with the pattern
evolution heading into the weekend. The GFS, which brought a quick
trough across the Rockies, now looks like yesterdays ECMWF with a
low over the Desert Southwest. The ECMWF, now brings a trough
instead of a low across the Rockies for the weekend. Both
solutions bring precipitation to the Mountains, but differ on the
Plains. Mozley

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 242 PM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

VFR conditions are expected at KCOS, KPUB and KALS the next 24 hrs.
Winds will be light and diurnally driven.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...HODANISH



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