000
FXUS65 KPUB 281711
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1111 AM MDT WED SEP 28 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 410 AM MDT Wed Sep 28 2016

Upper low over southern CA and western AZ will lift slowly northward
over the next 24 hours spreading mid/high level moisture into the
Continental Divide region by this afternoon.  This may allow for an
isolated high based thunderstorm or two to develop during the late
afternoon and evening hours.  With low levels remaining relatively
dry...gusty outflow winds up to 40 mph and lightning along with some
brief light to moderate rainfall will be the primary storm threats.
Temperatures today will be fairly similar to yesterday...though
slightly cooler air backdoors into eastern Colorado as a surface
high descends through the plains. This may shave a degree or two off
max temperatures today for eastern areas.

Tonight...will maintain some isolated showers along the Continental
Divide through the overnight hours...though these should remain
spotty and light.  Increased mid/high cloud cover should keep min
temperatures warmer than past few nights...particularly out west. -KT

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 410 AM MDT Wed Sep 28 2016

Thursday through Saturday...A ridge of high pressure will be located
over the central US to finish out the work week, while a
strengthening low pressure system sits off the Pacific NW coast.
This will keep SW flow aloft in place across the 4 Corners, as a
disturbance moves up from the desert southwest and draws moisture
into Colorado. Showers are expected to be restricted to the higher
terrain on Thu, then spread east across all of the forecast area for
Fri and Sat. Look for max temps in the upper 60s and 70s for the
high valleys, and in the mid 70s to lower 80s for the e plains.

Sunday through Tuesday...The upper low moves onshore across the
Pacific NW on Sunday, then sweeps east across the northern Rockies
Mon into Tue. This storm system will bring isolated showers to the
mts each day Sun through Tue, as well as strong gusty winds for Mon
and Tue. Temps on Sun and Mon will be very similar to earlier in the
period, but by Tue will cool down with max temps in the 60s for the
high valleys, and in the 70s for the e plains. Moore

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1106 AM MDT Wed Sep 28 2016

VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hrs. Winds will
generally be diurnally driven and less than 15 kts.

&&

.PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...28