154
FXUS63 KPAH 271121
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
621 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and pleasant weather is expected through at least
  Thursday.

- Chances of thunderstorms return to the forecast Friday through
  next Monday. No severe weather or heavy rainfall is expected.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 259 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

A upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will keep the Quad
State under cyclonic northwest flow aloft through Thursday.
Impulses riding through the flow may try to spit out some light
showers or sprinkles from time to time, but measurable rainfall
is not anticipated.

A skinny upper ridge will build over the region Thursday night
into Friday. The 00Z guidance still cannot agree on how long it
will hold up over the area. It could break down Friday night
into Saturday or over the second half of next weekend. Once the
ridge breaks down, a weak zonal flow aloft will develop with
impulses bringing daily chances of showers and storms to the
Quad State. There are no signs of heavy rainfall or severe
weather through this period.

Temperatures will be at or below normal through the week, with
the coolest air expected Wednesday into Thursday. Highs then
will be in the 70s with lows in the 50s. A modest warming trend
to near or slightly above normal levels is expected through the
weekend and into next week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 621 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

An area of LIFR ceilings will impact the northern sites early
this morning. They should become VFR later this morning. West
northwest winds may gust 15-20kts at times this afternoon.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DRS
AVIATION...DRS