Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KFWD 100530 AAB
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1130 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

.AVIATION...
/6Z TAFS/

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL NO MAJOR
AVIATION CONCERNS EXPECTED. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME SOUTHERLY TOWARD MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND
15KT AND BECOME SOUTHWEST BY MIDDAY. A WEAK FRONT WILL APPROACH
THE AREA BY 12Z THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING MORE NORTHERLY.

DUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016/
FAIRLY QUIET AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT
A SHIFT IN THE WEATHER PATTERN NEXT WEEK MAY BRING SOME RAIN TO
PARTS OF THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN RESIDING OVER THE PLAINS AND
EASTERN CONUS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. THIS UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL BUILD SLIGHTLY EAST OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS AS THE
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED TROUGH MOVES EAST. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL RETURN AT THE SURFACE TOMORROW ALONG WITH WEST WINDS IN THE
925-850 MB LAYER. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE
MID AND UPPER 70S IN THE WEST TO MID 60S IN THE EAST. THE WIND
SPEEDS WILL BE BREEZY AGAIN AT 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
THE COMBINATION OF BREEZY WINDS...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35/35E. A
GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TOMORROW FOR
THE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

ON THURSDAY...A WEAK FRONT WILL QUIETLY SLIDE ACROSS THE REGION.
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT AS THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL REMAIN DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL VARY FROM THE
MID 60S IN THE NORTH TO MID 70S IN THE SOUTH. SIMILAR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS...AND THEN ANOTHER FRONT
ARRIVES FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BRIEFLY COOL A FEW MORE
DEGREES BEHIND SATURDAYS FRONT...BUT A SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN IS
NOT EXPECTED.

SOUTH WINDS WILL QUICKLY RETURN ON SUNDAY AND ENOUGH MOISTURE
RETURN MAY OCCUR AHEAD OF ANOTHER FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT. A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MAY PROVIDE
ENOUGH LIFT FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
ARE NOT EXPECTED AS THE PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY END FROM WEST
TO EAST AS THE SURFACE LOW AND FRONT MOVE THROUGH.

IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...RIDGING WILL MOVE INTO
THE PLAINS ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK.

JLDUNN



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  37  72  48  68  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              35  74  46  75  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             29  65  42  65  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            33  73  44  66  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          35  69  44  66  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            37  71  48  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           33  67  46  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         36  70  48  73  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            38  73  48  76  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     38  76  44  69  37 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.