Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 271748
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1248 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR THE METROPLEX
TAF SITES. WESTERLY WINDS NEAR 10-15KT ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
BUT THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 5KT OR LESS AND BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY THIS EVENING AND EVENTUALLY EASTERLY LATE TONIGHT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS NEAR 10KT ARE EXPECTED FOR TOMORROW. GENERALLY
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL.

FOR THE WACO TAF...SIMILAR TRENDS ARE EXPECTED EXCEPT THERE IS A
CHANCE OF MVFR VSBY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS WINDS STAY LIGHT AND
MOISTURE BEGINS TO INCREASE AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES. ANY IFR OR
MVFR STRATUS SHOULD STAY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE TAF SITE
THURSDAY MORNING.

TR.92

&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 359 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016/
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAD MOVED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A
LAMPASAS TO CANTON LINE AS OF 330 AM. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AND EXIT THE FORECAST AREA SHORTLY
AFTER DAYBREAK. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH LATE
MORNING AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN KANSAS
MOVES EASTWARD.

THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT TEXAS IS
CURRENTLY OFF THE COAST OF OREGON. THIS SYSTEM WILL DIG SOUTHEAST
INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA BY TOMORROW NIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS
LOW...A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OUT ACROSS TEXAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AREAWIDE THURSDAY
NIGHT. WITH A LOW LEVEL JET EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...AND STEEPENING
LAPSE RATES...EXPECT SOME ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT COULD
PRODUCE SOME LARGE HAIL. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY.

THE SECOND UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL LIFT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AS ANOTHER LOW DIGS IN BEHIND IT. WE WILL
SEE A RESPITE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM
BRINGS CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK.

58



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH    84  62  85  68  81 /   0   0  10  70  80
WACO                85  61  85  69  84 /   5   0  10  50  60
PARIS               81  60  84  65  76 /   5   0  10  70  80
DENTON              82  58  84  66  80 /   0   0  10  70  80
MCKINNEY            82  58  84  65  80 /   5   0  10  70  80
DALLAS              84  63  86  68  81 /   5   0  10  70  80
TERRELL             83  60  86  68  81 /   5   0  10  70  80
CORSICANA           84  63  86  69  83 /   5   0  10  60  60
TEMPLE              87  62  85  69  84 /   5   0  10  40  60
MINERAL WELLS       83  58  84  66  81 /   0   0  20  70  70

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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