Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KFWD 030036
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
736 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

.AVIATION...
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME EARLY MORNING STRATUS ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS...WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME MVFR CIGS. THE BEST
CHANCE FOR THIS IS IN CENTRAL TEXAS...SO WENT WITH BKN015. THERE
IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME EARLY TO MIDDAY SHOWERS FOR TERMINALS
IN THE METROPLEX. CHANCES ARE NOT VERY HIGH AT THIS TIME...SO
CONTINUED WITH THE VICINITY ACTIVITY. THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE METROPLEX.

78

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 327 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015/
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WEST TONIGHT
WHILE A TROUGH DEEPENS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE UPPER TROUGH
WILL MOVE INTO THE RED RIVER REGION TONIGHT AND BRING INCREASING
LARGE SCALE LIFT AND INCREASING MID LEVEL WINDS. THIS WILL RESULT
IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND THE
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS EVENING WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD NORTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT. LOCATIONS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST STORM CHANCES OVERNIGHT. WE
EXPECT THE OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY TO BE ONGOING FRIDAY MORNING AND
ALSO PRODUCE SOME OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WHICH WILL MOST LIKELY BECOME
INITIATION POINTS FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A
FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST WHERE INSTABILITY AND MID
LEVEL WINDS WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY ROTATES TROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH.
LOCATIONS NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 35 WILL HAVE THE BEST FORCING AND THEREFORE THE HIGHEST
POPS. WE WILL ALSO LINGER SOME LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY AS ANOTHER PIECE OF ENERGY MOVES THROUGH
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND BRING DECREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
A COLD FRONT IS ALSO PROGGED TO MOVE INTO OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE MONDAY NIGHT. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE COLD
FRONT AND MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. LOCATIONS WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR WILL HAVE
THE BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES ON TUESDAY.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS FROM MID WEEK
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AND BRING DECREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AND SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES. SEVERAL LOCATIONS SHOULD REACH
THE UPPER 90S BY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

79

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  76  93  75  92  75 /  20  40  30  30  20
WACO, TX              75  93  75  92  75 /   5   5   5  20   5
PARIS, TX             73  86  71  88  71 /  50  70  60  50  50
DENTON, TX            76  92  74  91  74 /  20  40  30  40  30
MCKINNEY, TX          76  92  73  91  73 /  20  50  40  40  30
DALLAS, TX            76  94  76  92  76 /  20  40  30  30  20
TERRELL, TX           77  92  75  90  74 /  10  40  20  30  30
CORSICANA, TX         75  93  74  91  74 /   5  20  10  30  10
TEMPLE, TX            72  92  72  91  73 /   5   5   5  20   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     73  93  72  92  71 /  20  30  20  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

78



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.