Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KFWD 300437
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1137 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.AVIATION...
RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS RETURNED TO NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING
WITH DEW POINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. THE COMBINATION OF THE DEEP
MOISTURE WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY RESULT IN
SOME PATCHY FOG...ESPECIALLY TOWARDS SUNRISE SATURDAY.
VISIBILITIES SHOULD FALL BETWEEN 3 AND 5 MILES...ESPECIALLY NEAR
AND JUST AFTER SUNRISE. SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUDS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AS
RESULT OF A 25 TO 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. THE MOST LIKELY PLACE AND
TIME FOR MVFR CEILINGS WILL BE IN WACO BETWEEN 10 AND 16Z. THE
METROPLEX TAF SITES SHOULD SEE FEW TO SCATTERED CLOUDS BELOW 3000
FT FROM ABOUT 11Z UNTIL 16Z.

A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND TONIGHT WILL TURN MORE SOUTHERLY ON
SATURDAY AND INCREASE BETWEEN 8 AND 12 KNOTS AFTER SUNRISE.

79

&&

.UPDATE...
MUCH OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DISSIPATED WITH
THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. RIDGING AT 850MB WILL COINCIDE WITH
A FRONTAL PASSAGE AT 700MB TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THE
REDEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION...BUT A FEW SHOWERS WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. HAVE REDUCED POPS TO 20 AREAWIDE. NO
SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENT TO LOW TEMPS WAS NEEDED WITH THIS UPDATE.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 335 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014/
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE OVER THE WESTERN
PART OF THE FORECAST AREA AT 3 PM. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE BEST CHANCES
SHIFTING EAST DURING THE NIGHT. EXPECT MOST OF THE RAIN TO HAVE
ENDED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY 06Z...BUT HAVE LEFT 20 PERCENTS
ACROSS ACROSS ALL BUT THE SOUTHEASTERN ZONES WHERE 30 PERCENTS
WILL REMAIN.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
SATURDAY SO HAVE KEPT 20 PERCENT POPS DURING THE DAY ACROSS
LOCATIONS EAST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO LAMPASAS AND SOME
LINGERING 20S FOR AREAS SOUTHEAST OF AN ATHENS TO CAMERON LINE
SATURDAY EVENING. SOME LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY
SOUTHEAST OF A KILLEEN TO EMORY LINE.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD WEST INTO THE REGION LABOR DAY
AND DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS RIDGE WILL
NOT BE EXTREMELY STRONG BUT WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA HOT AND DRY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AND MAYBE EVEN
THURSDAY. HIGHS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S OVER THE
WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  75  96  77  97  78 /  30  20  10  10  10
WACO, TX              73  96  76  97  77 /  40  20  10  20  10
PARIS, TX             72  91  72  94  73 /  40  20  10  10  10
DENTON, TX            73  96  74  97  77 /  30  20   5   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          72  93  73  95  75 /  30  20  10  10  10
DALLAS, TX            76  95  77  97  78 /  30  20  10  10  10
TERRELL, TX           73  93  75  95  75 /  40  20  10  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         73  94  76  96  75 /  40  20  10  20  10
TEMPLE, TX            73  96  74  96  75 /  40  20  10  20  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     70  97  72  98  73 /  30  10   5   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

79/25




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.