Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 062327 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
527 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT
NORTH WINDS BECOMING LGT/VAR OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL RETURN LATER TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH
THE DAY SUNDAY. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
TOMORROW EVENING WITH NORTHERLY WINDS RETURNING. NO MAJOR AVIATION
CONCERNS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST INTO LOUISIANA TONIGHT. THE LOW CLOUDS ACROSS MOST OF
THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF NORTH TEXAS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE
AFTER SUNSET. AS A SURFACE RIDGE MOVES TO THE EAST TONIGHT...THE
NORTHERLY WINDS THAT WE HAVE SEEN TODAY WILL BECOME VARIABLE THIS
EVENING AND THEN COME AROUND TO THE SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH TONIGHT.
LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTH TEXAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN ZONES SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL
BE SOUTHERLY AT 10 TO 15 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT BEFORE SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST WITH ITS PASSAGE. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE 60S
AND LOWS THAT NIGHT WILL BE IN THE 30S.

AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT...GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR ON MONDAY. THE WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S WILL
RESULT IN ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MONDAY
AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE SUNSHINE MONDAY....TEMPERATURES WILL BE
LITTLE LOWER THAN SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO AROUND 60
DEGREES. THESE SLIGHTLY LOWER TEMPERATURES MAY BE A MITIGATING
FACTOR POSSIBLY KEEPING US FROM NEEDING A FIRE WEATHER WATCH/RED
FLAG WARNING. WE WILL TAKE A CLOSER LOOK SUNDAY AND DECIDE WHETHER
WE WILL NEED TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR PARTS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL MONDAY.

NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S NORTHEAST TO MID 60S WEST TUESDAY WARMING TO THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S BY THURSDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY
AHEAD OF THE NEXT DRY COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING A WIND SHIFT
BACK TO THE NORTH AND A SLIGHT COOL-DOWN FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

58

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  37  63  37  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              30  64  34  58  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             34  60  34  51  30 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            30  62  34  55  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          31  61  35  53  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            37  62  38  55  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           33  61  36  55  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         35  63  36  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            33  65  35  58  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     30  64  33  57  30 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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