Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 251601
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1001 AM CST WED FEB 25 2015

.UPDATE...
WE ARE CLEARING THE ADVISORY FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
PERIODICALLY THIS MORNING AS THE BACK EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION
ADVANCES SOUTHEAST. THE CORE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ENDED UP
TRACKING JUST SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR AND THAT IS THE LOCATION
WHERE THE DYNAMIC COOLING WAS GREAT ENOUGH TO OVERCOME THE LAYER
OF WARM AIR NEAR 5000FT BEFORE THE BRUNT OF THE PRECIP ENDED.
SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2-5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF
THE METROPLEX...IN A BAND FROM ROUGHLY NEAR HILLSBORO TO TERRELL.
SO FAR THE HIGHEST REPORT WAS OVER 3.5 INCHES IN WESTERN NAVARRO
COUNTY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE ADDITIONAL MESOCALE BANDS OF
MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOP ON THE BACKSIDE...OR NORTHWEST SIDE
OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THROUGH THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS. THIS
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY SHOULD PRODUCE NEW SNOW TOTALS OF UP TO 1
INCH IN MOST AREAS EAST OF A SHERMAN TO MCKINNEY TO MESQUITE TO
WAXAHACHIE LINE. THE FAR EASTERN ZONES MAY NEED A SHORT HOUR OR
TWO EXTENSION OF THE ADVISORY BUT WE WILL WAIT ON THIS DECISION.

CLEARING SKIES WILL RAPIDLY OCCUR FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY WITH
SUNSHINE EXPECTED TO BREAK OUT AS FAR EAST AS THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. ANY SNOW ACCUMULTIONS SHOULD MELT AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 40S...WITH SOME 50S LIKELY WEST OF
I-35. SOME GROUND SNOW WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING FOR AREAS
OVER THE EASTERN ZONES THAT RECEIVE MORE THAN 2 INCHES.

WE WILL BE TURNING OUR ATTENTION THIS AFTERNOON TO THE FORECAST
FOR TOMORROW THROUGH SATURDAY...AS IT APPEARS WINTER WEATHER IS
NOT OVER JUST YET.

TR.92


&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 717 AM CST WED FEB 25 2015/
PRECIPITATION CURRENTLY SWITCHING TO LIGHT SNOW AT THE FWD
OFFICE...

WE ARE LOOKING TO DO SOME AMENDING TO REMOVE THE MENTION OF
MOD/HVY SNOW IN THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH AREA TAFS. THERE WILL STILL
BE LIGHT SNOW/SLEET FOR A WHILE THIS MORNING...BUT IT LOOKS LIKE
A MUCH HEAVIER BAND OF SNOW WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF I-20 NEAR THE
CORE OF THE UPPER LOW. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS...THEREFORE...ARE
BECOMING MORE LIKELY IN THE REGION BETWEEN DFW AND ACT.

30


&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  43  31  43  26  33 / 100   5  10  10  30
WACO, TX              49  30  47  28  37 /  90   5   5   5  20
PARIS, TX             39  29  41  23  32 / 100   5  10  10  30
DENTON, TX            45  28  42  23  32 / 100   5  10  10  30
MCKINNEY, TX          41  26  41  24  32 / 100   5  10   5  30
DALLAS, TX            42  32  43  27  34 / 100   5  10   5  30
TERRELL, TX           40  31  44  27  35 / 100   5  10   5  30
CORSICANA, TX         44  31  45  28  37 / 100   5  10   5  20
TEMPLE, TX            53  31  50  28  38 /  80   5   5   5  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     51  29  43  22  31 /  90   5  10  10  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ093>095-
103>107-118>123-133>135-144>148-157-159-161.


&&

$$

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