Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 262108
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
308 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY WILL
BRING ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY NICE WEATHER ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL BE WORTH WATCHING
AS IT OPENS UP AND BEGINS TO ROTATE AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE RIDGE. THIS SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...FORCING A COLD FRONT SOUTH TO THE RED RIVER
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH NORTH
TEXAS THURSDAY...BRINGING MUCH COOLER WEATHER TO THE REGION FOR
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

OUR WARMEST CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY AS
SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. HIGHS IN THE
70S CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS JUST ABOUT ALL OF
THE AREA...WITH A FEW WESTERN LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING 80.
THURSDAY/S TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE A BIT COOLER...BUT WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINING IN PLACE WE SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO
CLIMB INTO THE 60S.

BY FRIDAY...A MUCH DEEPER UPPER LOW WILL HAVE MOVED INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN STATES....SPREADING THICK CLOUDCOVER ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS AND KEEPING TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL RAMP UP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...LEADING
TO WIDESPREAD STRATIFORM RAINS LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
CONDITIONS WILL BE CHILLY BUT IT STILL LOOKS LIKE TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY WARM TO KEEP PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF
COLD RAIN.

ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE IN THE NORTHERN BRANCH WILL DIVE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT...WHILE THE UPPER LOW
RETROGRADES SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. BOTH OF
THESE OCCURRENCES SHOULD HELP SPREAD SUBSIDENCE OVERHEAD AND BRING
AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION ON SUNDAY. THE UPPER LOW WILL THEN
BEGIN TO MOVE BACK TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS MEXICO MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM FINALLY
MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS TEXAS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1131 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL NORTH TEXAS TAF SITES THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ONLY FEW TO SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS...MAINLY
IN WACO.

A WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AT SPEEDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 12 KNOTS. THE WIND WILL TURN A BIT
MORE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY
AT SPEEDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 12 KNOTS.

79


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  72  45  76  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              40  75  44  76  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             38  70  43  72  47 /   0   0   0   0   5
DENTON, TX            39  72  43  75  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          38  71  43  74  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            43  72  46  75  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           40  72  44  75  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         40  73  45  75  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            43  75  45  76  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     39  75  47  79  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$





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