Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 231326 AAB
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
726 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

.UPDATE...
A QUICK UPDATE WAS DONE TO ADD ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR TODAY.

58

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 716 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014/
/1313Z UPDATE/

SOME THUNDER AND ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN REPORTED
AROUND THE DFW METROPLEX IN THE PAST 30 MINUTES AND HAVE AMENDED
THE METROPLEX TAFS TO INCLUDE -TSRA THROUGH 15Z. HAVE ALSO ISSUED
AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING THROUGH 15Z FOR ISOLATED LIGHTNING
STRIKES. WITH THE AMENDMENT...ALSO LOWERED CIGS TO AROUND 3500
FEET AND LOWERED VISBY INTO MVFR CATEGORY BASED ON REPORTED
OBSERVATIONS.

82/JLD

.../PREVIOUS AVIATION DISCUSSION/...
/12Z TAFS/

CONCERNS...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS
TODAY.

LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS FALLING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE RAIN WILL END FROM
WEST TO EAST...ENDING AT THE TAF SITES BETWEEN 20-22Z. VFR CIGS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY WITH BASES MOSTLY ABOVE 4000
FT...HOWEVER...A BRIEF LOWERING OF CIGS TO BETWEEN 3500-4000 FEET
MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING. CIGS WILL LIFT AS THE RAIN ENDS BUT REMAIN
BKN-OVC. AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT...ADDITIONAL LOW CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH AND/OR
NORTHWEST. BASES ARE FORECASTED TO BE BETWEEN 3000-4000 FEET BUT
COULD BE BETWEEN 2000-3000 FT AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR
POSSIBLE MVFR CIGS LATE TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING.

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. DAYTIME
SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 12-17 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS BOTH TODAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

82/JLD

82


&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2014/
AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN IOWA MOVES
NORTHEAST...A TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO TEXAS TODAY.
WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 1/4 AND 1/2 INCHES ACROSS
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH SLIGHTLY LIGHTER AMOUNTS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN ZONES. THE RAIN
ALONG WITH THE CLOUD COVER WILL TEND TO KEEP THE DIURNAL
TEMPERATURE RANGE SMALL TODAY...SO WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE
12Z TEMPERATURES AS FORECAST HIGHS IN SOME SPOTS ARE COOLER THAN
THE CURRENT /3 AM/ TEMPERATURES.

AS THE BASE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EAST OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT...A LIGHT RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE RED
RIVER EAST OF I-35. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. LOWS TONIGHT
WILL BE IN THE 30S AREA WIDE. THE CLOUDS WILL MOVE OUT FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH SOME
COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUING...HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S
NORTHEAST TO THE LOWER 50S ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS.

AFTER A COLD START CHRISTMAS MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP NICELY UNDER ABUNDANT
SUNSHINE. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL INCREASE...WHICH WHEN COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ALONG
AND WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON.

WE WILL HAVE A MILD DAY FRIDAY WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 40S AND
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING BELOW
SEASONAL NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND INTO THE EARLY PART
OF NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE LOW RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...AREA WIDE
SATURDAY...AND ACROSS THE EXTREME EAST SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL BE LIGHT.

58



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  50  36  48  34  62 /  80  10   5   0   5
WACO, TX              52  37  51  30  62 /  70  10   0   0   5
PARIS, TX             49  35  45  31  58 /  70  20  10   0  10
DENTON, TX            50  35  47  30  61 /  70  10   5   0   5
MCKINNEY, TX          50  35  47  29  60 /  80  10   5   0   5
DALLAS, TX            50  37  48  35  61 /  80  10   5   0   5
TERRELL, TX           51  36  48  32  61 /  80  10   5   0   5
CORSICANA, TX         51  37  49  33  62 /  60  10   5   0   5
TEMPLE, TX            52  35  52  30  62 /  60  10   0   0   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     51  32  49  29  62 /  70  10   0   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

82/58




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