Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 112037
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
237 PM CST THU FEB 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEAK FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA HAS MADE LITTLE PROGRESS
SOUTHWARD SINCE THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
AREAWIDE WITH AREAS NORTH OF THE FRONT IN THE LOW TO MID 70S AND
UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
REGION. AS OF 2PM WACO HAS RECORDED A MAX TEMPERATURE OF 81
DEGREES...WHICH WILL TIE THEIR RECORD HIGH FOR THE DAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE PLAINS WILL PUSH THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY...ALLOWING FOR
COOLER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. RETURN FLOW WILL REDEVELOP BY
SUNDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST AND LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE LEE
OF THE ROCKIES. A DEVELOPING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH
THIS LOW AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS AREAS
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35. INSTABILITY LOOKS
RATHER MEAGER WITH THIS SYSTEM SO HAVE PULLED MENTION OF THUNDER
FOR ALL BUT OUR FAR EAST COUNTIES.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF
THIS SYSTEM BRINGING PLEASANT CONDITIONS AND A SLOW RETURN TO
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. 99


&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1200 PM CST THU FEB 11 2016/
/18Z TAFS/

NO CONCERNS...CONTINUED VFR.

DFW/DAL ARE CURRENTLY IN NORTH FLOW...AND NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS
WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE MORNING FRONT RESPONSIBLE
FOR THE WIND SHIFT WILL BE SLOW TO MAKE PROGRESS TO THE SOUTH...
AND WINDS AT CENTRAL TEXAS AIRPORTS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY UNTIL
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS FRIDAY. THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT
TO METROPLEX TAF SITES FRIDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN WEAKER
WINDS ABOVE THE NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER...THUS NO REPEAT OF LLWS
ISSUES. WIND SPEEDS MAY TOP 10KTS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THE
INCREASE IS NOT SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN ADDITIONAL LINE
IN THE TAFS.

25


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  66  39  59  46 /   0   0   0   0   5
WACO, TX              42  69  39  64  47 /   0   0   0   0  10
PARIS, TX             38  63  35  52  37 /   0   0   0   0   5
DENTON, TX            38  65  35  57  44 /   0   0   0   0   5
MCKINNEY, TX          38  65  37  55  42 /   0   0   0   0   5
DALLAS, TX            43  65  41  58  46 /   0   0   0   0  10
TERRELL, TX           41  67  39  57  43 /   0   0   0   0   5
CORSICANA, TX         46  68  42  61  46 /   0   0   5   0  10
TEMPLE, TX            45  70  41  65  49 /   0   0   5   0  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     38  68  35  61  45 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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