Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 281112
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
612 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL PREVAIL WITH JUST SOME MORNING MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND
SOME AFTERNOON FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS. WINDS WILL BE EAST/NORTHEAST
AT SPEEDS LESS THAN 10KT.

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014/
THE WEAK UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN INFLUENCING OUR WEATHER FOR THE
LAST FEW DAYS IS NOW OPENING UP AND MOVING EAST. AS I WRITE
THIS...WATER VAPOR SHOWS THAT THE ILL DEFINED LOW CENTER IS
LIKELY NEAR GEORGETOWN. A FEW SPRINKLES HAVE BEEN NOTED IN
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AREAS DURING LAST EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
ACCUMULATING PRECIP IS CONFINED TO COASTAL TEXAS MOVING
EAST...AND SHOULD NOT AFFECT THE NORTH/CENTRAL TEXAS AREA.

EXPECT CONTINUED DRY WEATHER...WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
THROUGH MID WEEK. HIGHS TODAY IN THE UPPER 80S WITH SOME 90S WILL
CLIMB SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BY TUESDAY MANY AREAS
WILL SEE HIGHS IN THE 90S. WEDNESDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY LOWER
HIGHS DUE TO HIGHER DEW POINT AIR FROM THE GULF...BUT THOSE
HIGHER DEW POINTS WILL MAKE THE AFTERNOON FEEL JUST AS HOT. LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S WILL ALSO SLOWLY CLIMB...WITH LOWS AREA
WIDE IN THE 70S THURSDAY MORNING JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

THE FRONT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL REACH THE 80S FRIDAY...BUT ONLY PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S NORTH
TO LOW 80S SOUTH BY SATURDAY. SUNDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AS
WELL. LOWS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE 50S EVERYWHERE
SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME UPPER 40S IN THE
COOLER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN COUNTIES.

GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO FORECAST PRECIPITATION ALONG THE
FRONT...BUT CROSS SECTIONS SHOW THAT THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS FAIRLY
DRY EXCEPT FOR A BRIEF PERIOD RIGHT ALONG THE FRONT. IT IS STILL
TOO EARLY TO PREDICT STORM COVERAGE...BUT AREAS THAT DO NOT GET A
THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY NOT GET MUCH QPF. THE FORECAST THEN LOOKS
DRY THROUGH DAY 10. 84

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  89  68  89  70  91 /   0   0   0   5   0
WACO, TX              90  64  90  66  92 /   0   0   0   5   0
PARIS, TX             85  64  86  64  87 /   0   0   0   5   0
DENTON, TX            88  63  88  65  91 /   0   0   0   5   0
MCKINNEY, TX          89  63  88  65  91 /   0   0   0   5   0
DALLAS, TX            89  69  89  70  92 /   0   0   0   5   0
TERRELL, TX           89  66  90  67  92 /   0   0   0   5   0
CORSICANA, TX         89  66  90  68  93 /   0   0   0   5   0
TEMPLE, TX            89  65  91  67  92 /   0   0   0   5   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     88  64  88  65  91 /   0   0   0   5   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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