000
FXUS64 KFWD 122326
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
626 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH JUST HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS
NOW WILL BECOME LIGHT SOUTH OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE TO 10-15KT
DURING THE DAY TOMORROW.

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 341 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013/
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN SONORA/WESTERN CHIHUAHUA
MEXICO...IS EXPECTED TO RETROGRADE INTO THE BAY OF CALIFORNIA
DURING THE 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO LIFT
NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WE WILL SEE
WARM MOSTLY DRY WEATHER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HUMIDITIES
WILL INCREASE AS LIGHT NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON
BECOME SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND SOUTHERLY MONDAY. SOME LOW RAIN
CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHWESTERN ZONES TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND THERE WILL BE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AREA WIDE
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS
SHIFTS TO THE EAST...RAIN CHANCES SHOULD END LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY. WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SHOULD OCCUR
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY SO HAVE OPTED TO REMOVE POPS FROM THOSE DAYS
AS WE SHOULD BE CAPPED. THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD BY SATURDAY AS
AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. SOME DRY
LINE THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH TEXAS
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE EAST TOWARD THE I-35 CORRIDOR
SATURDAY NIGHT AS SUGGESTED BY THE ECMWF. THUS HAVE PLACED 20
PERCENT POPS IN THAT AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

58

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  56  86  64  86  67 /   5   5   5   5  40
WACO, TX              51  84  60  84  65 /   5   5   5  10  40
PARIS, TX             49  85  61  85  61 /  10   5   5   5  20
DENTON, TX            52  86  63  86  64 /  10   5   5   5  30
MCKINNEY, TX          51  85  63  86  64 /  10   5   5   5  30
DALLAS, TX            59  88  64  88  69 /   5   5   5   5  40
TERRELL, TX           52  85  60  85  63 /   5   5   5   5  30
CORSICANA, TX         54  85  60  84  64 /   5   5   5   5  30
TEMPLE, TX            52  84  60  83  64 /   5   5   5  20  40
MINERAL WELLS, TX     52  87  62  87  64 /   5   5   5   5  40

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /