Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FXUS65 KBOU 052045
AFDBOU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
145 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

WEAK NW FLOW DOMINATES IN THE UPPER LEVELS WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NW. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH AN EXITING DISTURBANCE TO THE NE WILL DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT
BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR TOMORROW.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE STALLED DUE TO LINGERING CLOUD
COVER BUT WITH CLEARING OVERNIGHT EXPECT LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS
AND HIGHS TOMORROW TO REACH INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

THE REGION WILL BE DOMINATED BY A MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGING REMAINS ALONG
WEST COAST.  A GENERAL DRY PATTERN AHEAD BUT THERE WILL BE A WEAK
WAVE IN THE FLOW FOR SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN ASSOCIATED WEAK
COLD FRONT OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO AND SOME LOW LEVEL COOLING.
COULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR A FEW SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS
BUT THIS LOOKS LIMITED. GIVEN SNOW COVER AND WEAK LOW LEVEL
INVERSIONS LINGERING THOUGH THE WEEKEND...TEMPERATURES WILL BE
CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMALS WITH MINIMAL WARMING.

THE BIGGER WARM UP EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK AS
THE RIDGE ALOFT BUILDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON TUESDAY AND THEN
SPREADS OVER COLORADO BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL SEND TEMPERATURES
INTO THE 60S BY TUESDAY ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS. THIS SHOULD SEE
AN END TO MOST OF ANY LINGERING SNOW COVER ACROSS THE PLAINS.

LONG RANGE MODELS ARE STILL IN DISAGREEMENT BY LATER NEXT WEEK IN
THE HANDLING OF THE NEXT WAVE OF ENERGY MOVING THROUGH EASTERN
PACIFIC.  THE EUROPEAN SOLUTIONS ARE DEEPER AND FURTHER WEST WITH
THE TROF WHILE THE GFS IS MORE PROGRESSIVE IN THE TROF LATER
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. FOR NOW WILL JUST MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW ON THURSDAY FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY LATE AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
TRANSITION FROM THE NE AROUND TO DRAINAGE LATER THIS EVENING WITH
THE BKN DECK SCATTERING OUT AS THE MOUNTAIN WAVE BREAKS DOWN.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BOWEN
LONG TERM...ENTREKIN
AVIATION...BOWEN



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