Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 290218
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
918 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DON`T SEE MANY OPPORTUNITIES TO IMPROVE UPON TONIGHT`S FORECAST SO
NO UPDATE NEEDED. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWING A LONG FETCH OF DEEP
GULF MOISTURE SETTING UP ACROSS THE GULF AND BAY OF CAMPECHE. THIS
WILL BRING PERIODS OF PRECIP ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH PINGING SE PARTS OF
THE CWA WITH POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ESP FRI NIGHT & SAT. WILL
SEE IF TRENDS HOLD UP IN FUTURE RUNS. MAY NEED TO INTRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WORDING ETC IF SO... 47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 721 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014/
AVIATION...
ACTIVITY OVER INLAND AREAS HAS DECREASED BUT STILL
QUITE A BIT OF DEVELOPMENT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ATTM. SOME OF
THESE SHRAS ARE MAKING IT ONSHORE BUT NOT HOLDING TOGETHER ALL
THAT WELL. WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON LBX/GLS FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF PCPN DURING THIS EVENING TIMEFRAME. OTHERWISE HAVE KEPT WITH
THE TRENDS OF LATE AS SE TX REMAINS IN THIS VERY TROPICAL AIRMASS.
THAT IS WILL BE KEEP- ING THE MENTION OF PCPN IN FOR MOST OF THE
FCST FOR ALL SITES BUT ONLY THE MENTION OF TS FOR THE SRN HALF OF
THE CWA TOMORROW AFTN. 41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  93  75  91  76 /  20  40  30  40  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              75  90  75  88  76 /  30  50  40  60  30
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  86  79  86  79 /  40  50  60  60  40

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$


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