Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 111604
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1004 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2017

.UPDATE...

Surface analysis this morning shows low pressure in the Plains
associated with a pretty strong short wave trough seen on water
vapor satellite imagery. We should have light west to southwest
winds today with mostly clear skies. Temperatures should reach the
low 70s this afternoon making for a very nice day across the
area.

Cold front associated with the low pressure in the Plains should
push through the area tonight into Tuesday morning with just a
wind shift. The colder airmass will allow for high temperatures
Tuesday in the low 60s.

Overall only changes to the forecast were for short term trends
in temperature, dewpoint and sky conditions which will mostly go
unnoticed since the forecast was on track to begin.

Overpeck

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 528 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2017/...

Slightly warmer temperatures can be expected again today
under west to southwest surface winds. Look for increasing
high clouds to move across the area from the west. This
warmup will not last long as the next cold front moves
through the area tonight/early tomorrow. No rain is expected
with the front. Temperatures will remain on the cool side for
the remainder of the week, and a reinforcing front will move
through Thursday/Thursday night. Moisture levels rise a
little ahead of this front, but thinking has not changed
that best rain chances will remain off the coast. Look for a
warmup over the weekend ahead of the area`s next cold front.
We might be able to get some rain develop with this front as
moisture levels rise, so will continue to carry low rain
chances Saturday night and Sunday. It still looks like the
best rain chances with this system will be off to our east
and northeast, similar to what WPC has on their latest Day
6-7 QPF forecast.  42

.AVIATION...
VFR. Scattered cirrus with a weak westerly breeze. The dry
passage of a early Tuesday morning front will veer late period
winds around to moderate northwest. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  73  42  61  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)          72  44  63  38  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)        68  51  63  47  62 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Overpeck
NEAR TERM...42
SHORT TERM...31


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