Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 010952
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
352 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AND MOVE OFF TO THE NORTH
AND NORTHEAST. ANTICIPATE ONLY SUBTLE CHANGES IN THE WEATHER PATTERN
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RESULTING IN PERIODS OF MAINLY LIGHT
RAIN OR RAIN SHOWERS ALONG WITH AREAS OF FOG. SOME OF THE FOG COULD
BECOME DENSE...AND DENSE FOG ADVISORIES MIGHT BE NEEDED. MIGHT EVEN
SEE A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO...BUT THE GREATEST RISK AREA FOR THAT IS
EXPECTED TO BE OFF TO OUR NORTH AND NORTHEAST. WITH THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE...HAVE CONTINUED YESTERDAY`S TREND OF SLIGHTLY LOWERING
TEMPERATURES. A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP IS STILL IN STORE FOR THE AREA
ON TUESDAY AS SOUTH WINDS FINALLY RETURN AND STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF THE
AREA`S NEXT COLD FRONT. IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THIS STRONG FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
BRING BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA...AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
IF WE END UP NEEDING A WIND ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. CONDITIONS STILL LOOK FAVORABLE FOR POSSIBLE FROZEN PRECIP
UP NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THERE IS A LOT OF
TIME FOR THIS FORECAST TO CHANGE...SO STAY TUNED. 42

&&

.MARINE...
THE DEVELOPMENT AND SLOW PROGRESSION OF A NEARSHORE TROUGH...AND ITS
ASSOCIATED WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING ONTO THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...
HAS AND WILL FORTIFY THE FORMATION OF SEA FOG AND PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHEAST
WINDS WITH OFFSHORE SEAS FALLING BELOW CAUTION CRITERIA THROUGH
THE DAY. AS THIS WESTERN GULF TROUGH WASHES OUT LATE MONDAY...FOG
AND PERIODS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER. AS NORTHWESTERN
TEXAS SURFACE PRESSURES LOWER AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT ON
TUESDAY... ONSHORE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO NEAR CAUTION LEVELS.
THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS TIMED TO PASS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS IS FORECAST TO BE A STRONG FRONT AS A COLD
SHOT OF NORTHERN PLAINS AIR AND A TIGHT OFFSHORE GRADIENT PUSHES
WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE THURSDAY MORNING. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      53  44  56  52  74 /  50  40  40  30  40
HOUSTON (IAH)              63  53  62  58  75 /  50  30  40  30  30
GALVESTON (GLS)            65  54  67  63  71 /  50  30  30  20  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO
     THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION/MARINE...31



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