Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 250052

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
851 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017


Current-overnight...Water vapor imagery shows very dry air aloft
across the region tonight. A weak frontal boundary is pushing east
of ECFL this evening. 915 MHZ Cape profilers show deep westerly flow
around 20 kts off of the surface thru 6.0 Kft. Models not picking up
on the stratocumulus streaming across the area from the west and
will likely have to update sky grids/zones to account for this. The
evening KXMR sounding shows a PWAT of 0.84 inches and very dry
conditions above an inversion near 800 mb.

Conditions will remain dry overnight as westerly winds slowly
decrease across the area. Dewpoints will fall into the 50s areawide.
Lows generally in the M-U50s, except a few L60 degree readings along
the immediate Space/Treasure coasts. An upper low over South
Carolina is forecast to move slowly northeast overnight. Weak
surface high pressure over the GOMEX will advance toward the FL

Tue...Fairly benign weather pattern with continued light/moderate
westerly flow. Conditions remain dry with plenty of sunshine.
Afternoon temperatures in the L-M80s.


.AVIATION...Gusty WRLY winds will slowly decrease this evening and
overnight. Post-frontal westerly winds again tomorrow, but with a
weaker pgrad in place. MSunny skies forecast on Tue. Current conds
show Stratocu streaming across the central peninsula and will have to
account for this in TAFs.


Current-Overnight...Weak frontal boundary through the coastal waters
this evening with stout westerly flow behind it producing choppy,
shorter period seas. Cautionary statements in place for gusty winds
and seas building to 5-6 ft offshore and generally 2-4 ft near

Tuesday...Previous...Pgrad will slacken as the low pressure system
lifts up the eastern seaboard. Moderate to fresh westerly breeze at
daybreak bcmg light to gentle by midday...then veering to S/SW in
the aftn. Seas subsiding to 2-4FT nearshore and 4-5FT offshore by
early aftn.





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