Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 250103

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
900 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017


Late day coastal sea breeze collision near/just NW of I-4 producing
a well-defined band of Q-stationary storms, producing quite a bit of
rain and lightning, but not much wind, given the complete dearth of
steering flow.

Expect this activity to rain itself out over the next couple of
hours, so plan on holding onto POPs for that area until midnight or
an hour before.


.AVIATION...Storms just west of the DAB-SFB-MCO-ISM corridor, close
enough to produce VCTS/(audible) TS and some outflow winds to 20KT,
but unlikely for IFR VSBYs at all aerodromes except SFB and possibly
DAB as well. AMDs show TS in VCNTY through 02Z-03Z, VFR thereafter.


.MARINE...Examination of previous night`s buoy data show that wave
model guidance has continued to overestimate sea heights by about a
foot away from the immediate near shore areas of the MAOR. Seas are
generally in the 2-2.5FT range where they are currently advertised
to be as high as 3-4FT. 41010 is currently showing 3.5FT, so there`s
no reason to suspect seas will be any higher than 3.0FT out at 60NM.
Plan to cap offshore seas at 3FT for the next few periods, given the
current wind forecast.




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