Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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487
FXUS64 KEWX 102008
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
208 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 203 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

Dry air continues to settle into South-Central Texas this afternoon.
Temperatures are in the 70s and 80s with dewpoints in the 50s. With
the dry air, highs today will warm into the 80s for most areas with
the southwestern CWA flirting with the 90 degree mark. Dry air will
lead to a cool night with lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Can`t rule
out some patchy fog once again for the Coastal Plains where some
boundary layer moisture remains. Much of the same can be expected
tomorrow with highs maybe a degree or two cooler as another weak
push of northerly flow moves into the area. Lows tomorrow night will
be in the middle 50s to lower 60s. Winds through the period will be
on the lighter side from the north with speeds generally less than
10 mph from a predominately northerly direction. Overall, no
significant impacts are expected through Monday night across the
region.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 203 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

It will be a rain free extended forecast as the upper pattern will
be dominated by ridging and a dry cold front pushing through the
area mid week.

Will start to get some moisture advection back on Tuesday ahead of a
Rockies trough that will be moving across the Plains. Max temps on
Tue will be mainly in the 80s, some 10+ degrees above normal. Upper
level support will remain well to the north and the surge in
moisture will not be quick enough to support any pop by the time a
cold front pushes into South Central Texas on Wednesday. The E and
SE winds may bring enough higher dewpoints to support some increased
cloudcover late Tue night into the first part of Wednesday.  The
timing of the front will also likely determine the Wed Max Temp as
well, forecasting low to mid 80s Wed afternoon ahead of the front or
at least ahead of the cooling part of the front. If we get some
compressional warming then we could get close to some record temps.
Mid 80s along I-35 are still below record levels but 10-15 degrees
above normal. The front and trough axis should be over our area
midday Wednesday with slightly cooler temps finally arriving Wed
night and early Thu Morning. There is not a ton of cold air behind
this front but it will keep the Max temps in the 70s and low 80s Thu
and Fri with morning Min Temps dropping into the 50s...upper 40s in
the Hill Country due to some lower dewpoints.

As we approach next weekend...extended models are showing the surface
high and upper ridge shifting east allowing for a return of higher
humidity, some clouds, and temps once again above normal. Troughing
over the West Coast will keep us in a southerly warm pattern. CPC
8-14 day outlook does not show any significant cold in the southern
Plains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1041 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

Pretty uneventful TAF period is expected over the next 24-30 hours
across South-Central Texas. Dry air will prevail with mostly clear
skies through the period. Light northerly flow is also expected with
speeds mostly less than 6kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              57  83  56  82 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  56  82  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     59  85  55  84 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            53  80  53  79 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           57  85  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        53  80  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             59  84  57  82 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        57  83  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   57  83  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       61  84  58  82 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           63  86  57  84 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...29
Long-Term...09
Aviation...29