Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
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487 FXUS64 KEWX 102008 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 208 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 203 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 Dry air continues to settle into South-Central Texas this afternoon. Temperatures are in the 70s and 80s with dewpoints in the 50s. With the dry air, highs today will warm into the 80s for most areas with the southwestern CWA flirting with the 90 degree mark. Dry air will lead to a cool night with lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Can`t rule out some patchy fog once again for the Coastal Plains where some boundary layer moisture remains. Much of the same can be expected tomorrow with highs maybe a degree or two cooler as another weak push of northerly flow moves into the area. Lows tomorrow night will be in the middle 50s to lower 60s. Winds through the period will be on the lighter side from the north with speeds generally less than 10 mph from a predominately northerly direction. Overall, no significant impacts are expected through Monday night across the region. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 203 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 It will be a rain free extended forecast as the upper pattern will be dominated by ridging and a dry cold front pushing through the area mid week. Will start to get some moisture advection back on Tuesday ahead of a Rockies trough that will be moving across the Plains. Max temps on Tue will be mainly in the 80s, some 10+ degrees above normal. Upper level support will remain well to the north and the surge in moisture will not be quick enough to support any pop by the time a cold front pushes into South Central Texas on Wednesday. The E and SE winds may bring enough higher dewpoints to support some increased cloudcover late Tue night into the first part of Wednesday. The timing of the front will also likely determine the Wed Max Temp as well, forecasting low to mid 80s Wed afternoon ahead of the front or at least ahead of the cooling part of the front. If we get some compressional warming then we could get close to some record temps. Mid 80s along I-35 are still below record levels but 10-15 degrees above normal. The front and trough axis should be over our area midday Wednesday with slightly cooler temps finally arriving Wed night and early Thu Morning. There is not a ton of cold air behind this front but it will keep the Max temps in the 70s and low 80s Thu and Fri with morning Min Temps dropping into the 50s...upper 40s in the Hill Country due to some lower dewpoints. As we approach next weekend...extended models are showing the surface high and upper ridge shifting east allowing for a return of higher humidity, some clouds, and temps once again above normal. Troughing over the West Coast will keep us in a southerly warm pattern. CPC 8-14 day outlook does not show any significant cold in the southern Plains. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1041 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 Pretty uneventful TAF period is expected over the next 24-30 hours across South-Central Texas. Dry air will prevail with mostly clear skies through the period. Light northerly flow is also expected with speeds mostly less than 6kts. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 57 83 56 82 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 56 82 51 82 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 59 85 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 53 80 53 79 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 57 85 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 53 80 51 79 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 59 84 57 82 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 57 83 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 57 83 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 61 84 58 82 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 63 86 57 84 / 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Short-Term...29 Long-Term...09 Aviation...29