Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FXUS64 KEWX 232312
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
512 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 130 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2024

A few passing high clouds across the local area for the rest of
today with high temperatures anticipated to reach the low to upper
70s and even low 80s along the Rio Grande. Mid to high clouds linger
around for this evening into the overnight period with lows in the
mid to upper 40s to low 50s. Saturday brings a lot of sunshine with
highs in the low to upper 70s across most locations with low 80s
along the Rio Grande. Southerly winds 5 to 15 mph are forecast
across the local area through the period. Winds speeds could be a
bit stronger or 10 to 20 mph over parts of Val Verde, Edwards and
Kinney Counties especially in the afternoon and early evening.
A dry Saturday evening into Sunday morning is in store with lows in
the mid to upper 40s and low 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 130 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2024

Upper level ridging and surface high pressure to the east will allow
for dry weather and southerly flow across South Central Texas late
this weekend into early next week. This will lead to a warm up
during this period, with highs from the upper 70s to mid 80s Sunday
rising to the mid 80s to low 90s by Tuesday. Increased moisture will
accompany these warm temperatures, especially in the east, and
periods of clouds or morning fog may be seen.

A longwave upper level trough moves across the Central Plains
Tuesday into Wednesday with a cold front expected to progress across
South Central Texas during morning on Wednesday. Have continued a
dry forecast with this frontal passage as the majority of ensemble
guidance keeps precipitation chances north and east of South Central
Texas. A cooler day is expected Wednesday as winds increase and
become northerly behind this front. Deterministic guidance on both
the GFS and ECMWF then bring a shortwave across northern Mexico into
northern Texas Thursday into Friday, with the GEFs ensemble guidance
giving about a 40 to 50 percent chance for portions of the area to
receive at least a tenth of an inch of rain during this time. There
are still some differences between models for this late week
disturbance so PoPs remain relatively low at this time. Cooler
temperatures in the 70s look to remain for late week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 512 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2024

VFR conditions through the TAF period. High cirrus will move across
South Central Texas tonight. Winds tonight 5KT or less, becoming
variable in some spots. Winds becoming S 5-10KT Saturday afternoon
along and east of the I-35 corridor, and S to SE 10-15 KT west of
this corridor. Some occasional gusts of 20-25 KT are forecast
Saturday afternoon closer to the Rio Grande.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              50  78  53  80 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  48  77  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     49  78  50  81 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            48  76  52  81 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           52  80  55  86 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        48  77  53  81 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             49  78  50  82 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        48  78  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   48  76  51  78 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       51  77  52  80 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           51  78  52  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

Short-Term...17
Long-Term...27
Aviation...76


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