Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
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587 FXUS64 KEWX 121050 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 450 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday) Issued at 140 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2025 Key Messages... - A weak cold front will move across the region today, with mainly dry conditions forecast. Clear skies and cold temperatures are seen early this morning, with lows just before sunrise expected to be in the low to mid 30s. Frost will again be possible, but lows quickly rise into 40s by mid morning which should quickly melt any frozen patches. A weak cold front located in Central Texas will move across the area today. Concurrently, a coastal low develops and will be offshore of the central Texas coast this afternoon. Almost all of South Central Texas will be dry today, with only low chances for a light shower in the far eastern portions of Lavaca and DeWitt Counties in the afternoon. Highs today will vary from the mid and upper 50s north to the low and mid 60s south due to the timing of the front. Areas of breezy wind are seen behind this front with winds staying elevated overnight into Monday morning. This will mainly re-enforce the cold air with highs on Monday expected in the low 50s to low 60s areawide. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 140 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2025 Key Messages... - Cold mornings, with increasingly warmer afternoons can be expected through the week. - Another arctic cold front looks to impact the region by the end of next weekend into the following week. The upcoming work week looks rather benign with mainly zonal flow aloft and temperatures near or slightly below normal through Thursday. Mornings in the 30s and 40s will be common with afternoons in the 50s Tuesday and Wednesday, then back into the 60s by Thursday. Our next storms system will approach by late week, but not before we see south-southwesterly surface winds ramp up ahead of it on Friday. This will result in much warmer temperatures near or slightly above normal for mid-January. Most locations should see highs in the 70s with a few spots over the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau still in the 60s. Our next cold front is scheduled to arrive next Saturday morning and bring much cooler air back into the picture for the end of next weekend into the following week. Some showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm will be possible both Friday evening and again on Sunday, but confidence is low in precipitation timing, location, and type at this distance. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 449 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2025 VFR conditions continue through the period. Light and variable wind will increase and become northerly mid-morning as a cold front moves across the area. Wind will generally be between 10-15 knots with the occasional gust to 20 knots. Occasional patches of mid to high clouds are expected, otherwise skies remain sky clear. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 60 35 53 33 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 61 35 54 32 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 63 37 55 34 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 56 32 51 30 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 63 36 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 58 33 51 29 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 64 35 58 33 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 61 35 54 32 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 62 36 53 33 / 10 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 62 38 55 35 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 64 39 57 37 / 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Short-Term...27 Long-Term...MMM Aviation...27