704
FXUS64 KEWX 110523
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1223 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Relatively dry conditions are expected to continue going into Friday.
There is a very low (<15%) chance for showers and thunderstorms
Friday afternoon across eastern portions of the CWA. If there is any
development it will likely remain isolated and sub-severe.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Increasing moisture advection will increase rain chances this
weekend across the CWA. Rain chances are expected to increase to
20-40% Saturday and Sunday afternoons. The best rain chances look to
remain just to the northwest of the CWA this weekend, where better
forcing will likely be present. The Weather Prediction Center has a
Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall for northern portions of Edwards,
Kerr, Gillespie, Llano, and Burnet counties Saturday, and a Marginal
Risk of Excessive Rainfall extending to San Antonio and much of the
I-35 corridor. There is still a lot of uncertainty on where the
higher rainfall amounts may occur, with much of the guidance
currently keeping the highest amounts just north of the CWA. However,
given the antecedent soil moisture, this situation will need to be
monitored for the potential for flash flooding. Some isolated rain
chances could continue through the middle of next week, primarily
across western portions of the CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

VFR cigs are forecast to prevail across all area sites for the first
couple of hours of this cycle. Then, MVFR cigs begin around 09Z and
remain through 15Z. VFR cigs return after 15z with a prevailing
southerly flow with speeds around 12 to 16 knots and gusts of 20 to
25 knots for most of the afternoon through middle of the evening.
MVFR return for the I-35 terminals around 09Z Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              94  76  93  76 /  10   0  30  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  93  76  93  76 /  10   0  30  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     94  75  93  75 /  10   0  30  10
Burnet Muni Airport            91  74  90  73 /   0   0  20  20
Del Rio Intl Airport           97  78  97  77 /   0   0   0  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        93  75  92  74 /   0   0  30  20
Hondo Muni Airport             92  75  92  75 /   0   0  10  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        94  75  93  75 /  10   0  30  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   93  76  92  76 /  10   0  40  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       93  76  92  77 /  10   0  20  10
Stinson Muni Airport           95  77  95  77 /  10   0  20  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...99
Long-Term...99
Aviation...17