860
FXUS64 KEWX 060639
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
139 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Flood Watch has been allowed to expire as heavy rainfall
  concerns begin to shift north of the region.

- Rain chances continue Saturday, with the favored areas remaining
  mainly east of I-35/I-37.

- Warmer temperatures next week, with most ares remaining dry.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 130 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Rain continues across portions of south central Texas early this
morning. The highest totals as estimated by radar have been in
northwest Travis into southwest Williamson Counties where radar
estimated a fairly widespread area of 4 to 6 inches. There are
some higher totals embedded within this region and while radar
estimates from GRK could be a little high, suspect there will be
some totals near 8 inches after the rain ends.

Radar trends continue to show some deeper convection developing a
little farther north of our region into central Texas. Given
current radar trends and hi-res model data, we have allowed the
Flood Watch to expire. We could still see some pockets of brief
moderate rainfall, but rain cooled air should help stabilize the
lower levels through the remainder of tonight.

On Saturday, the best chance for rain appears to be confined to
areas generally east of the I-35/I-37 corridor where precipitable
water values will be highest. We can`t rule out some isolated
showers and storms across the Hill Country and perhaps the I-35
corridor, but overall rain chances should remain fairly low
(20-40%). High temperatures should be able to nudge upward for
most areas, with mid 80s to lower 90s expected.

Some lingering upper lift in the weakening southwest flow aloft
could promote a few afternoon showers and storms mainly east of
I-35 on Sunday. Highs should be fairly similar to Saturday, albeit
a little warmer out west along the Rio Grande as afternoon
clearing helps boost highs into the mid 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 130 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

A broad, but fairly weak subtropical high will build across Texas
and the Gulf through much of the upcoming week. This will keep
most areas dry along with temperatures at or above normal for
early June. Highs should remain in the 90s along with lows in the
70s. We can`t rule out some sea breeze showers and storms near the
coastal plains, but confidence is too low to mention at this
time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Showers and thunderstorms have moved away from the terminals
leaving a mix of VFR and MVFR ceilings in the Austin and San
Antonio areas. Ceilings will settle at MVFR and then drop to IFR
overnight. DRT will drop to MVFR. All terminals will rebound to
VFR by early afternoon. The forecast has trended drier tonight,
and we have removed all convection from the TAFs for the afternoon
and evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              89  75  91  76 /  20  20  10   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  89  76  90  77 /  20  10  20   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     89  74  90  75 /  20  10  10  10
Burnet Muni Airport            87  73  89  74 /  20  30  10   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           92  75  95  76 /  20  10   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        88  75  90  76 /  20  30  20   0
Hondo Muni Airport             89  75  90  75 /  10  20   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        89  75  90  76 /  20  10  20   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   87  75  88  76 /  50  10  30  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       90  76  90  77 /  10  20  10   0
Stinson Muni Airport           90  76  91  76 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Platt
LONG TERM....Platt
AVIATION...05