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000
FXUS64 KEWX 292332
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
632 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2022

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 116 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2022

South-central Texas will continue to be far removed from any
significant synoptic weather systems through the short term. Upper
level ridging centered across the western half of Texas into eastern
NM will be weakening through the day today, though it will remain as
our region will be stuck in between upper level low pressure to the
east associated with Ian and another upper level low near the
northern Rockies. This will result in continued clear and dry
conditions with cool mornings and near to slightly warmer than
normal afternoons. It does appear that we will see a weak backdoor
cold front push into the region Friday evening into the overnight
which will usher in some slightly drier continental air,
consequentially resulting in a slightly cooler morning on Saturday
in comparison to the forecast lows for Friday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 116 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2022

The local area stays between an upper level low pressure system to
the northwest and another upper level low pressure system across the
middle Atlantic associated with Ian through the weekend. This setup
will provide fair weather conditions across South Central Texas as
ridging dominates. Therefore, expect sunny skies on Saturday and
mostly clear skies on Saturday night. As early as late Saturday night
into Sunday morning, upper level moisture is forecast to arrive
across the area from the eastern Pacific associated with Tropical
Storm Orlene. So, expect partly cloudy skies on Sunday with high
clouds spreading across the local area. Low temperatures are forecast
to range from the 50s and 60s and highs between the mid 80s to lower
90s this coming weekend.

The work week is forecast to remain dry with upper level moisture
increasing late Monday night into Tuesday and continuing through
Wednesday across the area as elevated moisture associated with
Orlene pushes into our area from the west. Cloud coverage is expected
to be enough to keep high temperatures a bit cooler and closer to
normal climate values from Monday into Wednesday.

An upper level pressure system pushing across the Central Plains into
the Middle Mississippi Valley on Wednesday into Thursday is forecast
to send a cold front across South Central Texas. However, at this
time, the frontal boundary looks to be a dry one with little change
on temperatures from normal climate values.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2022

VFR conditions through the period with mostly clear skies and mostly
light and variable winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              59  90  56  87 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  53  88  50  88 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     56  90  57  90 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            57  87  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           64  91  64  89 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        55  86  53  87 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             58  92  57  90 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        56  89  53  89 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   55  88  51  88 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       61  90  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           62  91  61  90 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...Oaks
Long-Term...Brady
Aviation...Oaks