Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FXUS64 KEWX 290524
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1224 AM CDT Thu Sep 29 2022

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Wed Sep 28 2022

Upper level high pressure system continues in control across the
Rockies and Southern Plains. At the surface, a ridge of high
pressure is forecast to dominate the local area through the short
term period. The combination of the above mentioned features will
promote sunny skies during the days and clear skies during the
nights. Light winds, clear skies and low dewpoint temperatures will
result in efficient radiational cooling. Therefore, expect another
cooler night with lows in the mid 50s across the Hill Country, lower
60s along I-35 corridor and mid 60s along the Rio Grande. For
Thursday, highs are forecast to range from the mid 80s to mid 90s.
Dry airmass stays in place across the area with dewpoints lowering a
few degrees less than those forecast for tonight. Therefore,
Thursday`s overnight lows are forecast to be even cooler with some
spots getting to the lower 50s across the Hill Country and between
the mid 50s and mid 60s elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Wed Sep 28 2022

A comfortable but rain free weather pattern with low humidity will
continue across South-Central Texas this weekend as another bout of
some even drier air arrives from out of the northeast by late Friday
with surface high pressure being pushed westward as Ian moves inland
into portions of Georgia/South Carolina. This drier air is expected
to keep our stretch of seasonably warm afternoons and cool mornings
going with an abundance of sunshine in the afternoon and clear skies
at night. The morning lows this weekend fall into the mid 50s over
portions of the I-35 corridor while low-lying drainage valleys could
drop into the mid to upper 40s in a few spots. Winds should remain
generally light from out of the northeast to east-northeast.

Rain free conditions are likely to continue through early to middle
of next week with a very gradual recovery in dew points once surface
winds become more easterly compared to northeasterly. Temperatures
will otherwise remain near seasonal averages. Latest model guidance
continues to show some considerable disagreement on the evolution of
invest 97E in the Eastern Pacific. The latest GFS continues to show
that this disturbance could potentially hook into the Southern Baja
California peninsula near Cabo San Lucas before reaching and quickly
dissipating into mainland Mexico for early next week. Whereas other
model solutions indicate that this system could continue westward
across the Pacific basin with little to no impact to Mexico. If the
storm does impact and dissipate into Mexico, then we can anticipate
at least some increased cloudiness across the region from out of the
west. While the rainfall chances still look quite unlikely in this
scenario, virga and/or very light sprinkles may be possible embedded
within any thicker mid to high level cloud cover.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Thu Sep 29 2022

VFR flying conditions prevail overnight through Thursday night. Winds
will be somewhat variable at 8 KTs or less, however KSAT may trend
drainage northwesterly, especially at night into morning and KDRT
may trend southeasterly during the daytime.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              60  88  57  87 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  56  88  55  87 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     60  90  56  89 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            57  87  57  87 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           65  91  64  88 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        57  87  55  87 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             60  92  60  90 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        56  89  55  89 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   57  88  53  87 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       63  90  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           65  92  60  90 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...04
Long-Term...Quigley
Aviation...04


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