932
FXUS64 KEWX 121041
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
541 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather pattern through next week

- Cooler today (Thursday) with a warming trend into the weekend

- Strong cold front brings cooler conditions for Monday of next week

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 1227 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

A cold front pushed across South Central Texas mid to late afternoon
into Wednesday evening. In the wake of the frontal boundary, breezy
to gusty conditions are in place and forecast to continue overnight
through midday Thursday. Northerly winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts
up to 45 mph are forecast to stay through the period. Can`t rule out
a few locations reaching Wind Advisory criteria (26 mph or more) for
a few hours. Otherwise, a cool overnight period is in store with
lows dropping into the 40s most places and lower 50s along the Rio
Grande. Wind chill values in the lower 30s across portions of the
Hill Country and southern Edwards Plateau and upper 30s and 40s
across the I-35 corridor and Coastal Plains areas with lower 50s
along the Rio Grande.

The surface high pressure system responsible for the breezy and
gusty northerly winds shifts to the east during the afternoon. The
winds then relax and start to shift to the southeast with speeds of
10 mph or less with occasional wind gusts up to 20 mph. Highs are
forecast to stay cooler and slightly below normal average ranging
from the mid 60s to lower 70s areawide under sunny skies.

Elevated fire weather concerns may exist for few hours along the I-
35 corridor and nearby locations as minimum relative humidity values
drop to the lower to mid 20s with wind speeds around 10 mph.

A clear night is in store with light winds and overnight lows in
the 40s areawide.

By Friday, the southerly winds are at full force and a warming trend
begins with highs back into the upper 70s to mid 80s along the Rio
Grande. Another clear night but warmer is forecast for the late
Friday night/overnight period with lows in the upper 40s and 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 1227 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

The weekend is going to be a warm one with highs in the 80s across
most places on Saturday and 90s for Sunday. Cloud coverage begins to
increase and span across South Central Texas especially along and
east of Highway 281 on Sunday morning. By the afternoon, most clouds
are gone due to a good mixing.

The next cold front is moving fast across the local area early
Sunday evening and exiting the Coastal Plains before midnight. This
is a strong cold front forecast to push across the local area with
strong winds out of the north in addition to the dry and cooler
airmass. Monday`s morning lows are set to be around the mid to upper
30s across the Hill Country and lower to upper 40s elsewhere. The
dry front and breezy to gusty conditions bring great chances for
elevated to near critical conditions across most of South Central
Texas. Monday`s highs are forecast to range from the mid to upper
50s to mid 60s areawide.

Southerly winds quickly return across the local area on Tuesday with
highs in the 70s. A warming trend is in store through at least the
middle of next week with highs back into the mid to upper 70s and 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

VFR SKC today through Friday morning. Northerly winds 10 to 20 KTs
with gusts to 30 KTs gradually decrease to less than 10 KTs while
turning northeasterly this afternoon most areas. The Rio Grande/KDRT
will shift to southeasterly this afternoon with the remainder of our
area tonight. Winds shift to southwesterly overnight into Friday
most areas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              68  46  79  53 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  66  41  78  49 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     67  42  77  49 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            65  44  79  51 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           71  46  83  53 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        66  43  79  51 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             69  39  79  47 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        68  42  78  49 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   66  42  77  51 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       69  44  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           69  43  79  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...04