Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 300520
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1220 AM CDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 116 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2022

South-central Texas will continue to be far removed from any
significant synoptic weather systems through the short term. Upper
level ridging centered across the western half of Texas into eastern
NM will be weakening through the day today, though it will remain as
our region will be stuck in between upper level low pressure to the
east associated with Ian and another upper level low near the
northern Rockies. This will result in continued clear and dry
conditions with cool mornings and near to slightly warmer than
normal afternoons. It does appear that we will see a weak backdoor
cold front push into the region Friday evening into the overnight
which will usher in some slightly drier continental air,
consequentially resulting in a slightly cooler morning on Saturday
in comparison to the forecast lows for Friday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 116 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2022

The local area stays between an upper level low pressure system to
the northwest and another upper level low pressure system across the
middle Atlantic associated with Ian through the weekend. This setup
will provide fair weather conditions across South Central Texas as
ridging dominates. Therefore, expect sunny skies on Saturday and
mostly clear skies on Saturday night. As early as late Saturday night
into Sunday morning, upper level moisture is forecast to arrive
across the area from the eastern Pacific associated with Tropical
Storm Orlene. So, expect partly cloudy skies on Sunday with high
clouds spreading across the local area. Low temperatures are forecast
to range from the 50s and 60s and highs between the mid 80s to lower
90s this coming weekend.

The work week is forecast to remain dry with upper level moisture
increasing late Monday night into Tuesday and continuing through
Wednesday across the area as elevated moisture associated with
Orlene pushes into our area from the west. Cloud coverage is expected
to be enough to keep high temperatures a bit cooler and closer to
normal climate values from Monday into Wednesday.

An upper level pressure system pushing across the Central Plains into
the Middle Mississippi Valley on Wednesday into Thursday is forecast
to send a cold front across South Central Texas. However, at this
time, the frontal boundary looks to be a dry one with little change
on temperatures from normal climate values.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Fri Sep 30 2022

VFR conditions through the TAF period under mostly clear skies. Winds
calm to variable at less than 5KT overnight and early Friday morning,
becoming NE to E around 4-8KT at SAT/AUS and SE at DRT 15Z-18Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              90  56  87  57 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  88  50  88  55 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     90  57  90  58 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            87  58  87  57 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           91  64  89  63 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        86  53  87  55 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             92  57  90  59 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        89  53  89  56 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   88  51  88  54 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       90  60  89  61 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           91  61  90  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

Short-Term...Gale
Long-Term...17
Aviation...76


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