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000
FXUS64 KEWX 010003
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
703 PM CDT Fri Sep 30 2022

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Fri Sep 30 2022

High pressure will dominate the short term period. Dry conditions
will continue with mainly clear skies. Relatively large diurnal
swings in temperature will also continue, with below average lows and
near to above average highs. Slightly drier air is forecast to
backdoor into the eastern and central CWA tonight. This will lead to
Saturday`s morning low temperatures cooler than this morning across
central and eastern areas. Highs Saturday will be about the same as
today and lows Sunday will be close to Saturday`s. Continued low
afternoon relative humidity will lead to elevated fire weather
conditions Saturday, however relatively weak winds will preclude any
fire danger statement.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Fri Sep 30 2022

A weak subtropical ridge axis located from the Bay of Campeche
northward into the southern U.S. plains will keep the forecast dry
along with near seasonal temperatures as we head into early next
week. We do expect to see some mid and upper level moisture move into
the region early next week associated with what is now Tropical
Storm Orlene. Despite the increase in mid and upper level moisture,
in the lower-levels, dry and stable high pressure will generally
remain intact. We will keep the forecast dry through mid-week along
with high temperatures at or just above normal and lows at or below
normal.

For the mid to late portion of next week, surface high pressure
gradually weakens. This will allow for a very slow return of east to
southeasterly winds and perhaps a modest uptick in near surface
moisture. However, lee-side surface troughing east of the Rockies
never becomes firmly established, so this along with high pressure in
the northern Gulf will hamper any significant moisture return.
Attention will then turn to another cold front expected to move into
the region late Friday. With little moisture over the region, a dry
frontal passage is expected.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 643 PM CDT Fri Sep 30 2022

Light winds and mostly clear skies are expected through the period.
Afternoon gusts from NE winds mixing from aloft could bring a few
gusts over 15 knots Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              56  87  55  88 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  53  87  52  87 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     57  89  56  88 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            56  87  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           63  88  63  84 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        54  86  52  86 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             60  90  57  87 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        55  88  54  87 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   53  87  52  87 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       61  88  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           61  90  59  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...Oaks
Long-Term...Brady
Aviation...Oaks