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000
FXUS63 KFGF 072050
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
250 PM CST SAT DEC 7 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 250 PM CST SAT DEC 7 2013

THE COLD REMAINS THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE BUT THERE ARE ALSO A
COUPLE OF CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW TOO. OVERALL DID NOT HAVE TO MAKE
MUCH ADJUSTMENT FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. AS OF MID AFTERNOON
SKIES WERE CLEARING ACROSS THE ENTIRE FA BUT THERE ARE CLOUDS
APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH-SW. THESE WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AS THEY DO THEY SHOULD HELP BRING A TINY
BIT OF MODERATION IN THE CHILLY TEMPS. MAIN CHALLENGE TONIGHT WILL
PROBABLY BE THESE CLOUDS AND HOW FAST THEY DO APPROACH. SINCE IT
DOES LOOK LIKE THEY WILL ARRIVE LATE WILL CUT BACK SOME ON LOW
TEMPS TONIGHT. AS THE CLOUDS ROLL INTO THE SOUTH THERE MAY BE SOME
STEADYING OFF LATE. WILL KEEP THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY GOING FOR
AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR IN ND AND
THE HIGHWAY 10 CORRIDOR IN MN THRU SUNDAY MORNING. ANY LIGHT SNOW
SHOULD STAY SOUTH OF THE FA TONIGHT.

THE CLOUD COVER SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE ABOVE ZERO ON SUNDAY
AND THEREFORE END THE WIND CHILL HEADLINES BRIEFLY. KEPT SOME
LIGHT SNOW IN THE FORECAST BUT THE BETTER CHANCES SHOULD BE SOUTH
AND EAST OF THE FA. CLOUDS SHOULD STILL HANG AROUND IN THE EAST
SUN NIGHT WITH COLDER TEMPS WORKING INTO THE WEST. MAY NEED SOME
WIND CHILL HEADLINES AGAIN SUN NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 PM CST SAT DEC 7 2013

NEXT LITTLE CLIPPER SYSTEM SHOULD ARRIVE MON AFTERNOON AND IT WILL
SPREAD MORE LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA THRU MON NIGHT. AGAIN AMOUNTS
WILL BE PRETTY LIGHT. TEMPS WILL STAY COLD BUT EXACTLY HOW COLD
WILL DEPEND ON WIND SPEEDS AND CLOUD AMOUNTS.

TUESDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...12Z MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT
DEPICTING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE REGION
WILL BE BETWEEN DISTURBANCES WITH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE.
MODELS AGREE WITH A CLIPPER FOR LATER ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...BRINGING LIGHT SNOW CHANCES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FA. THERE ARE SOME TIMING/LOCATION DIFFERENCES AMONG THE
MODELS WITH THE NEXT WEAK DISTURBANCE LATE IN THE PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL FLUCTUATE WITH EACH DISTURBANCE...BUT STILL BELOW
NORMAL VALUES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1150 AM CST SAT DEC 7 2013

PATCH OF CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST OF THE VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON. MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL BE CLEAR.
THEN...MID-LEVEL CLOUD DECK WILL BEGIN TO INVADE THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTH SUNDAY MORNING...POSSIBLY WITH -SN BY LATE MORNING.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR NDZ006>008-014>016-
     024-026>030-038-039-054.

MN...WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR MNZ001>009-013>017-
     022>024-027-028.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GODON
LONG TERM...GODON/TG
AVIATION...TG