Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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202
FXUS65 KBOU 112113
AFDBOU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
213 PM MST THU FEB 11 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 PM MST THU FEB 11 2016

WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE HIGH COUNTRY INTO THIS EVENING...WITH
SOME GUSTS ABOVE 50 MPH. NO CHANGES TO PATTERN SO WILL LIKELY SEE
SOME GUSTY WINDS IN THE HIGH COUNTRY TOMORROW.  LOOKING AHEAD A
VERY STRONG 1045 MB SURFACE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
UPPER MIDWEST TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.  WE WILL BE ON THE
EXTREME WEST SIDE OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE...AND WILL NOT TAKE A
DIRECT HIT FROM THIS REMINDER OF WINTER...SO SOME COOLER AIR IS
EXPECTED TO SETTLE ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO. HAVE LOWERED MAX
TEMPS A BIT TO COME CLOSER TO GUIDANCE AND BLEND WITH NEIGHBORS.
AS FOR CLOUDS...WE WILL VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY AND
TOMORROW...WITH SOME LOWER CLOUDS INCREASING ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST
COLORADO LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 PM MST THU FEB 11 2016

FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE FAR NORTHEAST
PLAINS. NAM12 FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY SHALLOW MOISTURE LAYER
THERE AROUND 12Z SATURDAY. WL DOVETAIL SOME PATCHY FREEZING FOG IN
THE GRIDS FM GOODLAND AREA. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON THE RIDGE WILL
FLATTEN AND SHIFT TO THE EAST WITH A DRY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER
THE REGION. VERY MILD TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS. SATURDAY
NIGHT...GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN AND NEAR THE FRONT
RANGE FOOTHILLS. NAM12 SPATIAL CROSS-SECTIONS SHOW A WEAK MOUNTAIN
WAVE PROFILE AROUND 06Z SUNDAY THEN THE SHEAR ALOFT BREAKS IT
DOWN. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRUSH ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO SUNDAY
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE WILL DEEPEN A BIT WEST OF THE
DIVIDE...ENOUGH FOR AN INCH OR TWO ALONG THE HIGHER WEST FACING
SLOPES. DOWNSLOPE WILL DRY THE AMS OUT IN AND NEAR THE
FOOTHILLS...BUT FURTHER EAST ENOUGH MOISTURE AND MID LEVEL INSTBY
TO WARRANT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE WILL
REBUILD OVER THE WEST FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A DRIER
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER COLORADO. TEMPERATURES JUMP BACK
INTO THE 60S ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS. THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN
CONTROL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. BY THURSDAY...THE MDLS
SHIFT THE RIDGE EASTWARD WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS AS
THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 PM MST THU FEB 11 2016

DRY VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW.
THERE WILL BE SOME MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDINESS. WINDS ARE VARIABLE
AT AREA AIRPORTS...WITH GRADIENT WEST OR NORTHWEST WINDS AT APA AND
BJC...LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS AT DIA. EXPECT WINDS AT ALL AREA AIRPORTS
TO BECOME DRAINAGE AFTER 03Z TONIGHT...AND LIGHT EAST OR
SOUTHEAST WINDS MID MORNING ON FRIDAY.



&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RTG
LONG TERM...COOPER
AVIATION...DANKERS



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