Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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FXUS63 KMQT 270541
AFDMQT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
141 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE SHORT
TERM. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING AND LOW TEMPS
INTO THE LOW 20S OVER THE INTERIOR CENTRAL AND W. ELSEWHERE...LOWS
TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S INLAND TO AROUND 30 AT THE
SHORE. HIGHS ON WED WILL BE COOLEST NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR (DUE TO LIGHT
NE WINDS) WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 50S.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 349 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

A RATHER BENIGN PERIOD OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND AS
TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE APRIL.

THE NEGATIVELY TILTED MID-LEVEL TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR SEVERE WX
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY WILL DECAY WHILE DRIFTING EASTWARD
ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY AND SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY.
GIVEN WEAKENING FORCING...DEEP DRY AIR...AND A NARROW MID-LEVEL
RIDGE ACROSS THE CWA...PRECIP WILL STRUGGLE TO MOVE NORTHWARD. WHILE
SOME GUIDANCE SHOWS LIGHT PRECIP SOUTH ON THURSDAY...HAVE OPTED TO
PUT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR ONLY THE EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL.
OTHERWISE...JUST MID TO HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL FILTER ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THE DAY.

THE PATTERN BASICALLY REPEATS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS ANOTHER
NEGATIVELY TILTED LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS STRUGGLES TO OVERCOME
RIDGING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. THE ECMWF HAS TRENDED TO A
DRY FORECAST FOR SUNDAY...MEANING ALL GUIDANCE NOW KEEPS THE CWA DRY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK...CONTINUING DRY CONDITIONS AMIDST SLIGHTLY MODERATING
TEMPS.
&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 139 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. EAST-NORTHEAST
WINDS COULD GUST TO 20 KTS THIS AFTN AT KIWD. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...(FOR THE 4 PM LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 342 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

ENE WINDS UP TO 20-25 KTS OVER THE LAKE THIS MORNING...STRONGEST
OVER THE W...WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING TO UNDER 20 KTS AS A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS S THROUGH ONTARIO AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS. E TO NE WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 20-25KT WILL THEN PREVAIL
THROUGH SAT TO THE S OF PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE NEAR HUDSON BAY.
&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UPPER MICHIGAN...
NONE.
LAKE SUPERIOR...
NONE.
LAKE MICHIGAN...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TITUS
LONG TERM...KLUBER
AVIATION...VOSS
MARINE...TITUS



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