Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KFWD 310229 AAB
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
929 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.UPDATE...

HAVE UPDATED THE ZONE PACKAGE TO BETTER REFLECT THE COOLER
TEMPERATURES OVER THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES WHERE THE FRONT HAS
ALREADY PASSED. ALSO...THIS REQUIRED LOWERING THE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT LOWS A FEW DEGREES AS WELL.

THE FRONT WILL MAKE SLOW BUT STEADY PROGRESS OVERNIGHT AND
MUCH OF THE CWA WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER AND MORE TOLERABLE ON
FRIDAY.     75

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 606 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
LIGHT VARIABLE WINDS WILL GIVE WAY TO PREDOMINANTLY EASTERLY WINDS
AROUND 10 KTS ON FRIDAY AS THE WEAK COLD FRONTAL ZONE CONTINUES TO
SINK SOUTHWESTWARD. THERE ARE CHANCES FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY...BUT CHANCES ARE TOO LOW
TO INCLUDE ANY MENTION IN THE TAFS. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS
UNLIKELY THAT ANY TAF SITE WILL BE IMPACTED BY CONVECTION OVER THE
NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS.     STALLEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015/
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS CENTERED JUST TO THE NORTHWEST
OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD
SHIFT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WEAK AND NOT WELL DEFINED COLD FRONT HAS BEEN MOVING
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. THE WINDS ARE LIGHT
AREA WIDE...BUT ARE GENERALLY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON WEST OF A JACKSBORO TO GOLDTHWAITE LINE.

THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL
BE ON FRIDAY...BUT WE ARE STILL JUST LOOKING AT 20 TO 30 PERCENT
POPS. BY SATURDAY...LOW CHANCES WILL JUST LINGER ACROSS THE ACROSS
AREAS WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
AREA BY TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
BECOMING UNDER NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WHICH WOULD ALLOW FOR WEAK
DISTURBANCES TO MOVE MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.
FOR NOW...HAVE JUST PLACED SOME LOW POPS /20 PERCENTS/ ACROSS
THE EASTERN COUNTIES FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.    58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  82  98  77  97  77 /  10  30  20  10   5
WACO, TX              74 100  75 100  74 /  10  30  20  10   5
PARIS, TX             74  95  72  95  73 /  20  20  10   5   5
DENTON, TX            79  96  74  95  74 /  10  30  20  10   5
MCKINNEY, TX          77  97  73  96  74 /  10  30  20  10   5
DALLAS, TX            80  98  78  97  78 /  10  30  20  10   5
TERRELL, TX           77  98  73  98  74 /  10  30  10   5   0
CORSICANA, TX         78  99  73  98  74 /  10  30  10   5   0
TEMPLE, TX            74 100  74  99  74 /  10  30  20  10   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     72  98  74  96  74 /  10  30  30  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

/75



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.