


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
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952 FXUS63 KAPX 080520 AFDAPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 120 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Rain-free weather continues tonight into Tuesday with lows in the 50s tonight. - Light rain chances Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday. - Rain-free weather through the second half of the week before chances return again heading into the weekend. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON/... Issued at 218 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025 Pattern Synopsis: Shortwave troughing will dig across the Upper Midwest this afternoon, eventually sliding overhead late tonight into Tuesday with associated height falls overspreading the region. At the surface, high pressure will remain in place tonight before weak pressure falls work into the Great Lakes through Tuesday. Forecast Details: Quiet weather will persist through tonight and much of Tuesday with aforementioned high pressure in place. Winds are expected to go calm tonight, but belief is that high clouds spreading overhead late this evening and overnight will prevent temperatures from cooling off as much as they would otherwise. Still, temperatures look to dip into the low to mid 50s for most across the Northwoods late tonight into Tuesday morning -- and potentially getting down into the upper 40s across interior eastern upper where less cloud cover is anticipated. Light rain showers may limp their way into parts of northwest lower and eastern upper Tuesday afternoon, and have included slight chance to chance PoPs accordingly. The best chances for light rain showers are currently expected after the short term period as somewhat better moisture works into southern portions of the CWA. && .LONG TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 218 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025 Pattern Synopsis/Forecast Details: Slow moving troughing looks to remain overhead Tuesday night and Wednesday, gradually working east of the region on Thursday as ridging slides toward the Great Lakes. Chances for light showers will continue Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. With rain chances coming largely from scattered showers, areas of northern Michigan may end up staying dry through the remainder of the week -- with totals largely under 0.25" expected for areas that do see see showers. Perhaps the best coverage of showers will come across southern portions of the CWA in closer proximity to slightly more favorable low-level forcing and moisture on Wednesday. Otherwise, rain chances don`t return to the forecast until the late Friday/Saturday time frame as the next wave looks to punch into the Great Lakes. Temperatures are anticipated to run slightly warmer than average heading into the middle of the month with highs in the low to mid 80s most days through next weekend. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 118 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025 Chance for MVFR to IFR producing fog/mist through early this morning morning...especially at KMBL and KPLN. Otherwise, expecting VFR conditions under just some passing high clouds and higher based cumulus. Light winds through the period. Chance for some showery activity late in the period, but too ISO to include in TAFs at this time. && .APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...DJC LONG TERM...DJC AVIATION...JLD