Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Central Illinois

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FXUS63 KILX 300455

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1155 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2014

ISSUED 856 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2014

Skies are mostly clear and winds have become light. Expect these
conditions to continue overnight and into the early morning hours.
Current forecast has a good handle on this, so no update needed tonight.


ISSUED 1155 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2014

Clear skies and light winds will continue overnight. VFR conditions
will continue at all TAF sites next 24hrs. A line of scattered showers
continues to move southeast through northeast IL tonight. Though
it looks like they could reach toward Champaignving they should
miss the TAF site overnight. Will not have any pcpn mentioned
at CMI at this time. Winds tomorrow will be westerly at around
10kts with scattered CU around 5kft and then dissipate again
tomorrow evening with lighter winds.


ISSUED 230 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2014

Latest radar mosaics showing isolated showers and thunderstorms
from near Rockford southeast into central Indiana, along a weak
convergence boundary. HRRR suggests some of this may clip the far
northeast CWA later this afternoon, where 20% PoP`s remain in
place. Am planning on leaving the evening dry, as any lingering
showers will quickly be fizzling as sunset approaches.

Upper air analysis continues to show strong ridging west of the
Rockies northward into Canada, with the eastern states and
provinces dominated by a broad long wave trough anchored via an
upper low spinning north of the Great Lakes. The long range
pattern does not change during the forecast period, except that
the upper low opens up some and starts to lift northeast. Some
hints exist that it may return early next week, but the associated
cooler surge looks to stay north of Illinois at this point.

Little change in the going forecast is needed. Temperatures are
expected to rise a couple degrees, with lower 80s for highs and
upper 50s-lower 60s for lows from Wednesday through the weekend,
and slightly warmer early next week. Precipitation chances remain
focused on Friday and Saturday, mainly diurnally driven, as weak
shortwaves pivot through in the broader upper troughs.




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