Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Central Illinois

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FXUS63 KILX 162100
AFDILX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
300 PM CST Thu Feb 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
ISSUED AT 300 PM CST Thu Feb 16 2017

High pressure continues to dominate the weather map across much of
the Plains and Midwest this afternoon. However, a weak warm front
continues to move through the region this afternoon, and southerly
winds usher in warmer temperatures.  The warm temperatures are part
of a longer warming trend, and tonights lows will remain above
freezing for Central Illinois.  For tomorrow...another day of sun
and warm winds out of the south will bring the max temps up into the
60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 300 PM CST Thu Feb 16 2017

Central and southeast Illinois can expect well above normal
temperatures for the remainder of the forecast period. In fact,
forecast nighttime lows over the next week are generally above
normal daytime highs for the same period.

There does not appear to be a significant precipitation risk during
the period. Even if there were, it would certainly fall in the form
of rain. The mean upper-level flow remains split for most of the
period, with the better northern stream energy staying to our
north, and better southern stream energy staying to our south. The
best chances for rain at this point look to be Tuesday into
Wednesday, but even then most of the rainfall appears likely to miss
our area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1146 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2017

Warm airmass moving into place for Central Illinois, and though
the pressure gradient at the surface is lax and the sustained
winds are generally under 10-15 kts...just off the surface winds
are a bit higher and are likely to gust a bit in the afternoon to
20kts. The winds aloft also increase in the overnight hours on
model soundings at 1500-2000 ft. LLWS from the SW at 35-40kts
will be a concern until early tomorrow morning. Other than
that...VFR throughout with cirrus.


&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 339 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2017

Record highs Friday Feb 17th...
Peoria........ 64
Lincoln....... 63
Springfield... 68
Champaign..... 69
Bloomington... 64
Decatur....... 61
Danville...... 71
Galesburg..... 60
Charleston.... 72
Effingham..... 68

Record highs Saturday Feb 18th...
Peoria........ 63
Lincoln....... 63
Springfield... 65
Champaign..... 65
Bloomington... 63
Decatur....... 70
Danville...... 67
Galesburg..... 63
Charleston.... 68
Effingham..... 70

Record highs Sunday Feb 19th...
Peoria........ 71
Lincoln....... 71
Springfield... 70
Champaign..... 68
Bloomington... 70
Decatur....... 66
Danville...... 70
Galesburg..... 63
Charleston.... 72
Effingham..... 70

Record Highs Monday Feb 20th...
Peoria........ 68
Lincoln....... 70
Springfield... 74
Champaign..... 71
Bloomington... 67
Decatur....... 70
Danville...... 70
Galesburg..... 64
Charleston.... 73
Effingham..... 68

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HJS
LONG TERM...Bak
AVIATION...HJS
CLIMATE...07



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