150
FXUS64 KEWX 240603 AAA
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
103 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Key Message:

- Isolated showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon over the
Coastal Plains and I-35 Corridor.

Our stagnant weather pattern will continue in the short term. An
upper level ridge covers the eastern half of the country and a
trough is over the west. High pressure over the Gulf has the low
level flow from the southeast. This is reinforcing a warm, moist
airmass over South-Central Texas. Convection is a bit suppressed
today and so far is east of our CWA. We still expect a few showers
or thunderstorms to move into our Coastal Plains counties later this
afternoon, but it shouldn`t last into the evening. Tonight should be
a lot like the past few nights with increasing cloudiness from the
southeast spreading to the northwest. This will keep temperatures
warm with lows mostly in the 70s. There won`t be any significant
changes Tuesday. The southeasterly flow will continue with a slight
chance for convection from the Coastal Plains to I-35 during the
afternoon. High temperatures will be near normal again. Tuesday
night will be a repeat of tonight. It`s a typical summer pattern.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Key Message:

-Low rain chances across the coastal plains and I-35 corridor
Wednesday, with low rain chances continuing over the coastal plains
into early next week.

Ridging over the eastern US and troughing over the west
will be in place Wednesday with southeasterly flow over South
Central Texas. Similar to previous days, precipitation chances
remain over the coastal plains into the I-35 corridor through the
early evening. Low precipitation chances remain into early next week
over the coastal plains, but should see slightly drier and warmer
conditions Thursday and beyond as mid-level ridging shifts closer to
our area. Highs creep back up into the mid to upper 90s this weekend
with triple digit temperatures along the Rio Grande. Lows will
mainly be in the 70s each night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

Low clouds continue to slowly develop from the coastal plains
northward into the I-35 corridor. Cigs will primarily be MVFR, but
based on recent trends, HREF probabilities and lighter winds in the
boundary layer, we did opt to add a TEMPO group for IFR at AUS and
SAT around sunrise. Will continue to monitor for fog development as
well, but suspect cigs will be the main concern for the morning
hours. Improving conditions are expected by mid-morning as cigs lift
and scatter back to VFR. Winds will be gusty today, but have gone
with a little lower wind speeds compared to the past couple of days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              96  74  94  75 /  10  10  10   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  95  74  93  73 /  10  10  20   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     93  72  91  73 /  10  10  20   0
Burnet Muni Airport            93  72  91  72 /  10  10  10   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           98  76  98  76 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        94  72  93  73 /  10  10  10   0
Hondo Muni Airport             92  72  91  72 /  10   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        93  72  92  73 /  20  10  20   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   93  73  91  73 /  20   0  40   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       92  74  91  74 /  10  10  10   0
Stinson Muni Airport           93  75  93  75 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...04
Long-Term...04
Aviation...Platt