Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
115 FXUS64 KEWX 090625 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1225 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Above average temperatures today through next week - Low to medium chances for rain Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning and Friday afternoon through Saturday && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 1219 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026 Moist southerly lower level flow gradually becomes more established allowing for low clouds with patchy to areas of fog, some locally dense east of the I-35 corridor this morning and across most areas tonight into Tuesday morning. Will monitor observational trends for possible Dense Fog Advisories. Lower level thermal ridge maintains above average temperatures. High temperatures Tuesday will be about 5 degrees cooler due to clouds lingering into the afternoon. Our advertised upper level low currently off the Baja California Sur coast will get a nudge from an upper level trough approaching the California/Oregon coast. By Tuesday afternoon, it will have opened into a trough over the Mexican state of Chihuahua and should generate some showers over portions of the Rio Grande and Edwards Plateau. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 1219 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026 There remain timing differences with passage of the trough over our area. ECMWF/CMC show a late Tuesday night passage while GFS/NAM and the Hi-Res coming into that time frame show a Wednesday passage. In addition, a brief weak cold frontal passage is shown on Wednesday. Have maintained the chances for Tuesday night and introduced slight chances for Wednesday morning, though these could be extended into Wednesday afternoon. An upper level ridge transits our area Thursday for dry conditions. The current California/Oregon upper level trough and a cold front move across our area late Friday into Saturday to bring chances of rain. However, there also are timing differences with this system. Lack of significant cold advection behind frontal passages keeps temperatures above average through next weekend. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1219 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026 VFR conditions are forecast for the local terminals through Tuesday morning. Patchy fog is forecast to develop overnight into Monday morning across the Coastal Plains and to the south and east of the Interstate 35. Otherwise, light and variable winds are forecast to prevail through Monday morning with a southerly flow forecast across the local area throughout the day and evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 85 59 77 59 / 0 0 10 40 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 84 58 77 58 / 0 0 10 40 New Braunfels Muni Airport 83 56 76 57 / 0 0 10 30 Burnet Muni Airport 84 57 74 56 / 0 0 10 40 Del Rio Intl Airport 84 57 75 55 / 0 0 20 30 Georgetown Muni Airport 85 59 76 58 / 0 0 10 30 Hondo Muni Airport 84 54 76 56 / 0 0 10 30 San Marcos Muni Airport 85 57 77 58 / 0 0 10 40 La Grange - Fayette Regional 83 59 79 59 / 0 0 0 30 San Antonio Intl Airport 83 57 76 59 / 0 0 10 30 Stinson Muni Airport 84 58 78 59 / 0 0 10 30 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...04 LONG TERM....04 AVIATION...17