Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 201733
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
133 PM EDT Sun Oct 20 2019

.AVIATION...
20/18Z issuance. Prevailing VFR with FEW-SCT low clouds under a
BKN mid deck. Although VCNTY SHRA will impact southern terminal
this afternoon then shift to northern ones late Mon morning and
afternoon with brief MVFR PSBL. LAL and PGD could see limited BR.
Onshore winds become light and VRBL over night then SE and S Mon.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 825 AM EDT Sun Oct 20 2019/

UPDATE...
Latest RAP model shows weak high pressure building into the
northeast Gulf of Mexico through tonight as a frontal boundary
resides across the southern part of the state. Atlantic high
pressure ridges across the Bahamas to western Cuba. Some drier
air filters into the northern and central counties...keeping them
rain free. The southern counties will be in deeper moisture from
the frontal boundary and have some cloudiness and scattered
showers.

Forecasts are generally on track. However decreasing winds and
wave action on the Gulf have reduced the treat of coastal flooding
and high surf and have allowed those advisories to expire. But a
high risk of rip currents will continue.

MARINE...
Winds continue to diminish but some residual seas will continue
for the next couple of hours...will keep a small craft advisory
in place then allow it to expire at 10 AM. The gradient will stay
relaxed for early in the week as a couple of fronts traverse the
waters.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  73  87  76  87 /  10  40  30  30
FMY  75  89  75  89 /  10  20  20  30
GIF  70  89  74  89 /   0  40  20  40
SRQ  73  88  75  88 /  10  40  20  30
BKV  67  87  72  88 /   0  50  40  30
SPG  75  87  77  87 /  10  40  30  30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

09/Rude


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