Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
000
FXUS62 KTBW 232328
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
628 PM EST Sat Jan 23 2021
.AVIATION...
Prevailing MVFR/IFR with localized LIFR cigs/vsbys will redevelop
across the entire region tonight through mid to late morning on
Sunday, with mainly VFR returning after 18Z. West to northwest
winds at the coastal sites early this evening will become northeast
at 4 to 6 knots after 02Z with light northeast winds continuing
into Sunday, except becoming west to northwest again at the
coastal sites after 18Z.
&&
.Prev Discussion... /issued 302 PM EST Sat Jan 23 2021/
DISCUSSION...
Weak cold front has for the most part stalled along and just north
of the Interstate 4 corridor this afternoon with considerable
clouds and a few showers north of it with partly to mostly sunny
skies to the south. The boundary will begin to move once again
tonight as high pressure well to the north builds south and this
will shift the low level winds to northeast to east across the
entire region overnight through Sunday. With the abundant low
level moisture in place we`re looking for another round of low
clouds and fog late tonight into Sunday, but the expect the lowest
visibilities to be mainly across southwest Florida with mainly low
ceilings from around Tampa Bay and the Interstate 4 corridor
northward. Partly sunny skies will return by Sunday afternoon with
an afternoon sea breeze expected near the coast. Sunday night
through Wednesday the southerly flow will return as the high moves
out into the western Atlantic Ocean with warm and more humid
conditions setting us up for more late night early morning fog
and low clouds each day. The next cold front will approach and
move across the region late Wednesday into early Thursday with a
few showers accompanying it. Behind the front our next round of
cool dry weather returns to end the week. However, until this time
we`ll see temperatures above normal climbing into the lower 80s
over inland locations for Monday, and lower to middle 80s Tuesday,
and Wednesday.
MARINE...
A weak cold front will drift south through the waters tonight
shifting winds to a more northeast to east direction as an area
of high pressure well to the north builds into the area. Early
next week winds will veer around to the south once again as the
high to the north moves out into the western Atlantic Ocean. An
area of sea fog off Pinellas and Manatee counties this afternoon
will continue to drift south and eventually get pushed well out
into the gulf tonight. The prospect for more sea fog will return
early next week as the southerly flow returns.
FIRE WEATHER...
Relative humidity values will remain above critical levels through
early next week with dispersion values on the low side through
Sunday then improving early in the week as southerly flow
increases. Areas of fog are expected to develop each day during
the late night and early morning hours through the middle of next
week.
&&
.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA 62 77 63 79 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 62 80 62 81 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 60 78 62 82 / 10 0 0 0
SRQ 62 77 62 78 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 57 77 59 81 / 10 0 0 0
SPG 62 74 64 75 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
AVIATION...57/McMichael
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Close