Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 171405
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
905 AM EST Fri Jan 17 2020

.DISCUSSION...
A frontal boundary is draped across the south/central peninsula
and will be settling south through the day as high pressure builds
into the north. The high pressure will then shift east to over
the Atlantic through the weekend, and continue to ridge back
across the area. A cold front will then move into north Florida
early Sunday morning, and gradually push through the area Sunday.
Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible as it moves
through, then some colder air will move in for Tuesday and
Wednesday mornings.

Temps for this afternoon are on track to reach into the mid 70s to
around 80. Current forecast is on track and have no updates
planned.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected through much of the period, with some
drier air expected to move into the area today as high pressure
builds. NE winds this morning will become more easterly and
increase and become gusty through the late morning and afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Strong NE/E winds will keep the SCA in place for the offshore
waters and SCEC for the near shore waters through Saturday
morning as high pressure builds in from the north. The pressure
gradient will then relax across the area allowing winds to subside
for a bit. Then a cold front will move through the area
Sunday/Sunday night, with winds and seas increasing to near SCA
conditions behind the front for Sunday night/Monday. Current
forecast is on track with all of this and have no major changes
for the update.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  79  61  78  63 /   0   0   0  10
FMY  80  61  78  62 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  77  60  76  60 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  80  61  79  63 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  77  56  78  59 /   0   0   0  20
SPG  77  62  78  64 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Saturday for Waters from
     Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/Hubbard
UPPER AIR/DECISION SUPPORT...74/Wynn


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