National Weather Service National Headquarters

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS62 KTBW 230155
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
855 PM EST Fri Jan 22 2021

.DISCUSSION...
The cold front will slowly settle into the Nature Coast overnight
and then lift out to the NE Saturday, bringing a few showers
mainly across the northern half of the area, as well as the
potential for areas of fog over land, and some sea fog over the
northern and central coastal waters. Drier air moves in as this
boundary shifts out of the area, clearing it for Sunday and
Monday. Current forecast is on track with all of this and have no
updates planned.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR conditions in place currently will become MVFR to IFR
generally 08-14z with fog and low ceilings in place. The low
ceilings are likely to continue after the fog lifts, especially
at the northern terminals, through the day Saturday, with MVFR
continuing, and a few showers possible at the northern terminals
in the later afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas will increase a bit across the northern waters
behind the front Saturday, with winds then all becoming generally
easterly by Sunday morning. Winds then shift more to the SE later
Sunday and Monday, then turn to the S/SW ahead of the next cold
front that stalls just to the north of the waters on Tuesday. No
headlines are expected through the period, and the current
forecast is on track. No major changes for the update.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  62  73  61  77 /  10  30  10   0
FMY  60  78  61  80 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  59  73  61  79 /  10  30  10   0
SRQ  62  74  61  77 /  10  10   0   0
BKV  58  71  56  78 /  20  40  20   0
SPG  62  71  61  73 /  10  20  10   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...24/Hubbard
UPPER AIR/DECISION SUPPORT...27/Shiveley