Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 171742
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1242 PM EST Fri Jan 17 2020

.DISCUSSION...
The frontal boundary has pushed south of the area this afternoon,
with high pressure to the north building down the state. This is
causing the strong and gusty E/NE flow across the area. The gusty
conditions will subside for the overnight hours, but winds will
remain strong, especially near the coast overnight. High pressure
will then shift to the east to over the Atlantic and allow the
pressure gradient to relax for Saturday into early Sunday and
shift winds to the S/SE as a cold front approaches from the NW.
The front will then move through the area Sunday/Sunday night
bringing showers and a few storms with it. Colder and drier air
moves in Monday as high pressure builds. Tuesday and Wednesday
mornings will see temperatures in the mid 30s Nature Coast and
upper 30s inland to mid 40s coast central and south. Highs Monday
will generally be in the 60s. Tuesday highs in the mid 50s to
lower 60s, and in the 60s again for Wednesday afternoon. The warm-
up continues from there through the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected through the period. Gusty E/NE flow
will continue through around sunset, then the gustiness will
subside overnight with sustained winds only slightly diminishing,
especially near the coast. Winds will finally subside for Saturday
morning and become more SE.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas will remain elevated through Saturday morning under
high pressure. Winds will diminish for a bit as high pressure
shifts to the east over the Atlantic and a cold front approaches
from the NW. The front will move through the waters Sunday/Sunday
night, with winds and seas increasing behind the front as high
pressure builds. SCA conditions will again be likely for Sunday
night through Tuesday night/Wednesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No concerns through the weekend. A cold front will then move
through the area Sunday/Sunday night, with cooler and drier air
moving in as high pressure builds behind it. Humidities will
approach critical values for Monday through Wednesday afternoons.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  61  78  63  76 /   0   0  10  40
FMY  61  78  62  80 /   0   0   0  20
GIF  60  76  60  78 /   0   0   0  30
SRQ  61  79  63  79 /   0   0   0  30
BKV  56  78  59  76 /   0   0  20  50
SPG  62  78  64  77 /   0   0  10  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Saturday for Waters from
     Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/Hubbard



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