Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS62 KTBW 201225
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
825 AM EDT Sun Oct 20 2019

.UPDATE...
Latest RAP model shows weak high pressure building into the
northeast Gulf of Mexico through tonight as a frontal boundary
resides across the southern part of the state. Atlantic high
pressure ridges across the Bahamas to western Cuba. Some drier
air filters into the northern and central counties...keeping them
rain free. The southern counties will be in deeper moisture from
the frontal boundary and have some cloudiness and scattered
showers.

Forecasts are generally on track. However decreasing winds and
wave action on the Gulf have reduced the treat of coastal flooding
and high surf and have allowed those advisories to expire. But a
high risk of rip currents will continue.

&&

.AVIATION...
20/12Z issuance. VFR. FEW-SCT clouds for northern terminals.
However PGD/FMY/RSW can expect OCNL BKN mid clouds and VCSH.
Light VRBL winds become SW and W.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds continue to diminish but some residual seas will continue
for the next couple of hours...will keep a small craft advisory
in place then allow it to expire at 10 AM. The gradient will stay
relaxed for early in the week as a couple of fronts traverse the
waters.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  86  73  87  76 /  10  10  40  30
FMY  89  75  89  75 /  50  10  20  20
GIF  88  70  89  74 /  10   0  40  20
SRQ  88  73  88  75 /  10  10  40  20
BKV  87  67  87  72 /  10   0  50  40
SPG  86  75  87  77 /  10  10  40  30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for Charlotte
     Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita
     Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa
     Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...09/Rude
UPPER AIR...74/Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT...74/Wynn


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.