Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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831
FXUS62 KTBW 161736
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1236 PM EST Thu Jan 16 2020

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected to persist with winds less than 10
knots. No other aviation impacts expected.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 919 AM EST Thu Jan 16 2020/

UPDATE...
Surface high pressure remains over the northeast Gulf of Mexico
producing rain-free conditions, warm temperatures and light winds
once again today. The 12Z morning sounding is a little drier than 24
hours ago, but still showing adequate moisture below 850 MB with a
PWAT of 1.03 inches. This has allowed for some areas of fog and low
clouds across west central Florida. The latest visible satellite
imagery and observations show a majority of this has burned and will
continue to over the next hour allowing for mostly sunny skies to
prevail through the remainder of the day. As we have seen over the
past week, temperatures will once again soar well above average
topping out in the low to mid 80`s. Only change made to the forecast
was the removal of fog. Everything else is tracking fine for now.

AVIATION...
The low clouds and FG that were being reported early this morning
has lifted. Conditions are expected to remain VFR with winds less
than 10 knots. No other aviation impacts expected.

MARINE...
Pleasant boating conditions will continue today, with light winds
and minimal seas. A weak front moves through on Friday with very
little rainfall expected. This will bring a tightened gradient
between this front and strong high pressure to the north, which will
bring increasing north-northeast winds on Friday and Saturday
approaching cautionary or possible advisory level. Conditions
improve by Saturday afternoon with a brief period of pleasant
weather before the next cold front moves in late Saturday into
Sunday. Gusty northerly winds can be expected in the wake of this
front with SCA conditions likely starting late Monday through the
middle of next week.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  66  78  60  79 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  65  79  60  79 /   0  10   0   0
GIF  66  76  58  78 /  10  10   0  10
SRQ  66  81  60  80 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  60  78  54  79 /  10   0   0   0
SPG  66  78  60  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Dense Fog Advisory until midnight EST tonight for Coastal waters
     from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM.

&&

$$

AVIATION...74/Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT...42/Norman



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