Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 131215
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
815 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected today E-NE winds then afternoon
bay and seabreezes around the Tampa Bay area sites. SCT-BKN
04-05k ft cigs possible this afternoon around SW FL sites as well.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 424 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019/

DISCUSSION...
High pressure and drier air will continue to dominate the area
through early next work week. The only exception with be down
south tomorrow where some increase moisture will help to bring a
few showers in the afternoon.

By mid next week a weak cold front will stall in north Florida.
This will help to bring moisture and instability back into the
forecast. This will cause pop up showers and thunderstorms to
develop in the afternoon through the end of the work week. Sadly
the cold front is not expected to bring much in the way of cooler
temperatures with highs still topping out in the mid to upper
80`s through the work week.

MARINE...
High pressure in the area will keep easterly winds through early
next work week. Winds will stay between 5 to 15 knots but below
critical levels. By the middle part of next work week a weak cold
front will start to shift the winds to a southeast to southerly
direction.

FIRE WEATHER...
Drier air will come in for the weekend but will remain above
critical levels. No significant fog is expected.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  88  71  88  71 /   0   0  10   0
FMY  88  71  89  71 /  40  30  20  20
GIF  88  68  88  69 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  89  71  89  71 /  10  10  10  10
BKV  88  66  88  67 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  88  72  88  72 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

Davis


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