Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 151731
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1231 PM EST Wed Jan 15 2020

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and winds less than 10 knots expected through the
day. Similar conditions expected early Thursday morning with
MVFR/IFR possible for low VSBY and CIGs from 06-15Z. No other
aviation impacts expected.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 918 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2020/

UPDATE...
Upper level ridging and surface high pressure remains over the area
producing rain-free conditions and warm temperatures once again
today. The 12Z morning sounding is showing abundant moisture below
850 MB with a PWAT of 1.17 inches. This has allowed for quite a
large area of fog and low clouds across west central Florida. The
latest visible satellite imagery and observations still show some
patchy fog, but is expected to burn off in the next hour allowing
for mostly sunny skies to prevail through the remainder of the day.
As we have seen over the past week, temperatures will once again
soar well above average topping out in the low to mid 80`s. The only
change made to the forecast was the addition of areas of fog once
again early Thursday morning. Otherwise everything looks fine for
now.

AVIATION...
Some pesky low clouds and FG were being reported early this morning
producing some MVFR/IFR conditions across the region. Conditions
have since improved with VFR conditions and winds less than 10 knots
expected through the day. Similar conditions expected early Thursday
morning with MVFR/IFR possible for low VSBY and CIGs from 06-15Z. No
other aviation impacts expected.

MARINE...
Pleasant boating conditions will continue today and tomorrow, with
fairly light winds and minimal seas. A weak front moves through on
Friday, with very little rainfall expected. This will bring a
tightened gradient between this front and strong high pressure to
the north, which will bring increasing north-northeast winds on
Friday and Saturday approaching cautionary or possible advisory
level. Conditions improve by Saturday afternoon into Sunday with
decreasing winds and seas. No other marine impacts expected.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  64  80  65  78 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  63  82  65  78 /   0   0   0  20
GIF  63  82  65  76 /   0   0   0  10
SRQ  63  81  65  79 /   0   0   0  10
BKV  60  81  61  77 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  64  80  65  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...74/Wynn
MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...42/Norman



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