Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
853 FXUS62 KTBW 081158 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 758 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025 ...New AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 316 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025 Upper level ridging and surface high pressure near Bermuda ridges west-southwestward across southwest Florida and into the eastern gulf. This ridging will shift northward by Wednesday with the ridge axis extending through the central part of the state. This pattern will favor light and variable winds overnight, becoming west- southwest 5-10 knots during the afternoon. Abundant moisture with PWAT values between 1.6 - 1.9 inches will support daily scattered sea breeze showers and storms during the afternoon hours. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 756 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025 Southwesterly flow and more stable air will keep thunderstorm chances limited today. The best chance to see storms at terminals will be in southwest Florida. Winds generally be light staying below 10 knots. && .MARINE... Issued at 316 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025 High pressure ridges across Florida and into the eastern gulf producing light winds less than 10 knots and seas less than 2 feet. A stray shower or storm is possible over the eastern gulf during the evening and early morning hours. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 316 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025 Abundant moisture and light winds will continue through the week precluding any fire weather concerns. Daily afternoon showers and storms expected each day through the week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 79 92 78 92 / 20 60 20 70 FMY 76 94 76 93 / 30 70 30 70 GIF 75 93 75 92 / 20 70 20 70 SRQ 76 92 76 90 / 20 50 30 60 BKV 73 92 73 92 / 20 60 20 70 SPG 79 89 78 89 / 20 50 30 60 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 1 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley DECISION SUPPORT...Pearce UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Pearce