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000
FXUS62 KTBW 240006
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
706 PM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

.UPDATE...
Isolated showers over the interior this afternoon have largely
dissipated, although a few areas of sprinkles are still apparent
on KTBW radar early this evening, and other areas of light rain
developing overnight can`t be completely ruled out. The main
forecast concern overnight will be the possibility of fog
development after midnight tonight. Despite abundant low level
moisture, abundant clouds and slightly breezy winds should limit
how much fog can form, although conditions will be slightly more
favorable over southwest Florida and over the interior, and
a few patches of fog are still expected to develop

A few minor forecast adjustments were made to the rain chances
and fog wording overnight. Otherwise, no significant changes are
planned for the evening update.

&&

.AVIATION...
Mostly VFR conditions should hold through midnight, although a
few patches of MVFR and IFR ceilings are currently lingering
around KLAL over the interior. MVFR/IFR ceilings and some patchy
fog are expected to develop across much of the area beginning
around 06-08z, although isolated spots could see flight category
reductions before that. VFR conditions will gradually return by
around 14-15z on Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
A weak cold front will move southeast through the eastern Gulf of
Mexico Friday afternoon through Saturday morning, with winds
turning to northerly and increasing to around 15 knots. Isolated
to scattered showers will be possible with ahead of this front on
Friday. Winds will then subside again through the rest of the
weekend, as high pressure builds in north of the waters. An area
of low pressure will develop in the western Gulf of Mexico and
move east into the coastal waters on Monday, bringing increased
chances of showers.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  60  75  56  67 /   0  10   0   0
FMY  60  78  59  74 /   0  10   0   0
GIF  58  78  53  70 /   0  10   0   0
SRQ  60  76  57  70 /   0  10  10   0
BKV  56  77  49  67 /   0  10   0   0
SPG  60  75  56  68 /   0  10  10   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

Fleming